Since September the 11th America is
seemed locked into its war on terror one
might believe that American diplomatic
horizons stop at the suburbs of Baghdad
or cabal but while focusing on the
vestiges of the World Trade Center the
country is secretly preparing for a new
conflict an undeclared war but one that
is the top priority for the intelligence
community and the White House ahead of
al-qaeda more important than the
quagmire in Iraq the Chinese threat
America's new war
they have a term they call comprehensive
national power which is economic
political military altogether cultural
and they say this is the essence of
China this is the time for China to rise
our time has come this is them tong
dynasty again we are a great power we
are a world power they are playing the
old sons of game winning the fight
without firing a bullet or that as much
Sun to set but when the bottle without
losing then that's the best way of
winning and I think this is very
conscious but they're willing to fight
the world will all say run by three
first-class countries
why is USA united states of america and
that is us
II United States of Europe then the
Greater China and at this point at
current point i think the possibility to
ca us e is very slim and but it USA stay
as top one country is something sure
and as for the possibility of Greater
China the possibility is something
between so who attend to think sino-us
relations will be one of the most
important bilateral time in the coming
years and this pilot I'm will decide the
nature of international relations in
21st century if these by the tie is
confrontation already then the whole
21st century will be bonded by
confrontation
kimon island the actual frontier between
the two giants and where the ultimate
confrontation may take place this little
island belongs to Taiwan but it is only
two kilometers from the chinese coast
from here one can see the inaccessible
banks of fujian province where hundreds
of ballistic missiles pointed Taipei
24 hours a day for 60 years
Taiwan has been watching communist china
this island regularly threatened by
Beijing has been bombarded thousands of
times it is never surrendered America
has sent a message to be Jane the fall
of kidman would lead to a direct
confrontation
we're in the Strait of Taiwan it's here
that a military clash might one day
break out
taiwan is one of those emotional
hot-button issues the way Jerusalem is
to Palestinians and Israelis the way
Kosovo was to the Albanians and serves
and for most mainland chinese taiwan is
rightfully a Chinese province this was
territory that they believed was stolen
from China by Japan in the 1895 war and
that the United States prevented
reunification during the early stages of
the cold war because of our opposition
to communism
in 1996 here in the Straits of Taiwan
China and America engaged in their
biggest military standoff the ongoing
elections in taiwan annoyed the regime
in Beijing so the Chinese army decided
to launch huge military maneuvers to
test the Americans reaction
after several days of this Chinese show
of force Washington deployed two
aircraft carriers it was the first time
the two countries came face-to-face for
several days there was extreme tension
between you two nuclear powers
the Chinese fired short-range ballistic
nuclear-capable missiles off the north
and south coast of Taiwan and carried
out a major what we call a live-fire
exercise at johns and then was their
president they were using some very
belligerent language this is when we
dispatched to carrier battle groups off
the east coast and this is a show this
this was force and the matter quickly
dissipated
the Chinese thought this was excessive
they thought that they had an
understanding with the u.s. that they
would have a limited display to show
their sirius's on the issue the US would
adopt a very limited response and then
they would both back away they regarded
the deployment of a second carrier as
excessive and in some ways as
humiliating to the Chinese because the
Chinese couldn't do much to deter or
complicate the deployment of those
carriers
was it all made what gender she will i
know this story well should you hashem
and i can tell you that the truth just
very different from the American
propaganda sure i was there and getting
96 can go by the Americans have promised
to send an aircraft carrier to taiwan
for election day to protect iwashita
honey but actually the only American
ship near taiwan how's the electronics
by sharing longer hail hail are adding
more than 200 have a nautical miles away
then he can't have been the first
American aircraft carrier was 600
nautical miles from Tyra hide so the
truth is that the Americans and now
she's never coming home
what they kept her distance apart they
wanted at all costs to avoid any
incident and they didn't dare approach
army so without
even if the Americans didn't take much
of a risk in the eyes of the world they
reaffirmed the sacred principle of their
foreign policy they support taiwan and
they will continue to do so regardless
of China's growing power I think
believes taiwan is very important for a
number of reasons not to mention the
fact that it's our eighth largest
trading partner are six largest market
for agricultural goods
it's one of America's most important
sources of high-tech semiconductor
products even though they're imported to
the United States by a China that
they're made in Taiwan but that of
course isn't the only thing that the
real reason I think America has a
commitment to Taiwan is because taiwan
is a democracy it is in fact the most
vibrant and dynamic democracy in east
asia and it's a democracy that that came
to fruition under the pressure of the US
government primarily the Congress after
40 years of a very tight authoritarian
rule by a regime that came from England
China I think however the real reason
that the United States especially the
Pentagon is so concerned about Taiwan is
that it has been a very strong defense
and intelligence partner for the last 50
years including the last 30 years since
the breaking of relations with the
republic of china and taiwan we have
still maintained a very strong defense
relationship and a very strong
intelligence collection relationship
with Taiwan i would say the United
States is committed to taiwan this goes
back historically a long way
worldwartwo we were there and we were
looking for a strong unified Democratic
china we got two-thirds of it strong and
unified not democratic
now we're calling China a responsible
stakeholder
we've got half of it we got a
stakeholder but not a responsible one
yet us feels that we have an obligation
legal moral to taiwan that we cannot
stand idly by and let this be taken over
by what looks like an authoritarian
communist influence to power this cannot
be
taiwan an island of 23 million
inhabitants 250 kilometers from the
chinese coast is today the most
explosive strategic issue between China
and the United States taipei the capital
Florence its economic success it is one
of the biggest centers in the world for
the electronics industry a modern city
free young and always noisy in 1895
taiwan was invaded by Japan 50 years
later after the Japanese defeat peace
treaties return the territory to china
china which was then minutes to the
civil war between mouths Communists and
Chiang kai-shek's nationalists when the
battle turned in mouth favor
general Shang by shaykh aided by the
Americans took refuge in Taiwan with his
soldiers
since then to chinese government's have
coexisted in Beijing the communist
regime that controls the entire mainland
and in taipei the nationalist regime
having become little by little and
democracy calling itself the republic of
china which rules only taiwan officially
these two governments both claim to be
the legitimate representatives of all
the chinese taiwan is not recognized as
a state by the UN only 20 small
countries maintain diplomatic relations
with the island the fragile independence
while beijing still considers taiwan as
the 23rd province of the People's
Republic a rebel province that the
regime intends to reunite with the
motherland i would say two major
motivations are many others but two
major ones first one is national pride
unification of China they are committed
to this this is this is a strong
emotional drive in China and and you
don't downplay it's real it's powerful
the second strategic they know through
history if Taiwan is on in unfriendly
hands that china is very badly affected
if you turn the globe around and if you
were the navy commander of the Chinese
armed forces then you will see the only
way to protect my coastline is to extend
it
our defense and power projection
capability far away from our territory
why I need to do that because the
economic Center financial center
education center production center of
today's china it's all on the coastline
so my the Navy's mission is to make sure
that nobody touched it so I can continue
to grow to go out you have a big stone
right there you can go other places but
there is a stopping stone blocking your
way in this time now
taiwan depends on the outcome of
elections that could change its
executive power and stock market risks
that can endanger its economy beijing
nevertheless has understood that
whatever the mood on the island
especially when it is favorable to
political reconciliation the strategy
must never change input terminal the
communist regime continues on one hand
to offer taiwan favorable business
privileges on the mainland
on the other hand it regularly
reiterates its military threats if the
Taiwanese are too insistent about their
desire for independence
they're going to have to fight for it
whatever Taiwan's political tendencies
Beijing's position doesn't change what
sir
a freeway in the middle of the island of
Taiwan in a few minutes it has been
transformed into a landing strip the
population watches this military
exercise they used to it
French mirage 2000 and American f16 jets
land and take off with an enormous rule
faced with the uncertainty of American
support taiwan organizes its own defense
everyone knows that the airports will be
the first target strategists on both
sides of the street affirmed that the
war will first begin with an air battle
we got translated users and I think that
experts that world over know that was
very difficult to see allocation cool we
still remember Norman gather in a
straight like ours it's one the air the
warning the different see and we was
trying to keep a strategic advantage
over China our air superiority
that's what we tiny muscles the Librium
has been put into question even complete
or anymore she's having an affair
destroyed you lose our only advantage
over China got on air superiority I'll
including the use of jajaja
Taiwan's military power is concentrated
in its Air Force but also in special
ground forces they are training to face
the chinese people's liberation army in
the event of a conflict they expect to
elite chinese troops to parachute onto
the island to attack strategic targets
every time his people here now is that
when the war can't tell one is gonna
take the first bullet we are going to
take the first bullet and probably we're
going to take the bullets Kinnear for
about two weeks and you're months until
that United States coming and there's no
way the u.s. is count will come here to
find a difficult fight it if they really
want to get involved but it's better for
them that weight when the Chinese people
we are worrying down the Chinese any
troops and gave them the Hughes give
them a huge number of the sacrifice and
then the u.s. can come in and clean out
the battlefield and win easy fight
everybody in town knows
in Washington the scenario of the next
confrontation is a constant
preoccupation they know that chinese
military power has increased
significantly but how the Pentagon will
react in case of a new taiwan crisis
remains a mystery
it's certainly not automatic the support
for taiwan it never has been
the United States has always maintained
a policy of so-called strategic
ambiguity in which neither beijing nor
taiwan can know clearly what the US
response might be under any given set of
circumstances
I think that ten years later from 1996
the missile crisis in the taiwan strait
to two thousand seven uh we would
approach the the Taiwan issue with a
little bit more caution
no I would approach the Taiwan issue
with a lot more caution what this means
i think is that we would be probably
resupplying taiwan by air we probably
would put a active duty military
contingent on Taiwan rather than risk
putting our ships in harm's way coming
away from this crisis the US has
concluded that the check I think there's
been problems in what they've concluded
the US has concluded that the Chinese
were somewhat intimidated by the child
by the US deployments and that in fact
they now know the u.s. is very
determined to use force if necessary to
ensure peace and stability in the Taiwan
Strait in fact however I don't think the
Chinese were all that intimidated by the
deployment of the carrier's what they
were as they it strengthened their
resolve to acquire capabilities so that
they won't be intimidated in the future
scenes the 1996 confrontation between
china and the united states around the
time I issue i think the China's
military mobilization speed that and we
saw people saw some achievement right
now china owns j10 that's the typical 6
3rd generation fire fighter and that
made a Chinese did the third country
then independently produce the
third-generation firefighter I think
that's a spawn signal to the US site
what achievement military modernization
and puree site your China's on terminal
objective is trying to so-called Unified
have won by using force to take over
I think the military capability is good
enough but but i don't see that because
they're increasing the military budget
over the last decade almost every two
digit
and the dale budget is not transparent
some observers are calculated they say
will in fact the real number could be
triple or double the current budget that
they made it public so why they are
doing it there they even point is not to
even try to show of the heavy capability
to destroy the satellite could several
around in space
why did it because they wanted showed to
the rest of world we are capable of one
day becoming a superpower maybe
overtaking United States
friendly speaking at the status call
that is the power steering strongly in
favor of the United States but the
situation of the bands of power is on
the change and i think time is on
China's
since the nineteen ninety-six crisis the
United States and China have often had
occasion to test each other's resolve
small conflicts sometimes public
sometimes secret that can be understood
today as a pattern of confrontations
between the two powers
on May seventh 1999 in the midst of the
kosovo war lato bombed the Chinese
embassy in Belgrade three Chinese people
were killed
NATO claimed it was a military error CIA
had apparently furnished the wrong maps
in answer to this publication the
Chinese organized mass demonstrations in
front of American embassies
less than two years later china had its
revenge the first of April 2001 an EP 3
took off from its base in Japan it's a
spy plane that flies regular electronic
surveillance missions along the chinese
coast
after six hours of flight while still in
international airspace the American
airplane was intercepted by three
Chinese jets this has been going on for
some months the Chinese planes came
within a few metres of the American
plane a little game that the pilots were
used to one of the Chinese pilots was
one way and the true the ep-3 knew him
well he had already shown for his past
interceptions of US aircraft that he was
willing to take some very serious risks
incoming very very close to us aircraft
they knew him well
smart aleck hotdog we call them he is in
the thing and screw you and Sandy comes
up like this this little bit too close
and the Chinese again the propaganda
apparatus turns on and they say our
plane deliberately turn his plane and
crashed your fault and we said to China
that defies the laws of physics
the US government had already expressed
its concern over this to the Chinese
government i think in this instance he
miscalculated and he allowed his
aircraft to get too close and it struck
the US aircraft and it damaged his
aircraft in a way that forced him to
crunch
the Chinese jet plunged into the same
its pilot was declared missing ep3 was
seriously damaged it was forced to make
an emergency landing but the closest
airstrip was a Chinese military airbase
the airplane succeeded in landing there
but it was now in Hainan and the crew
was immediately taken prisoner
air is immune erc jurisdiction for the
next 10 days in China and the US would
perform a diplomatic na each accusing
the other of responsibility for the
accident from Beijing refused to
liberate the crew whether this board
time for their military experts to
inspect and dismantle the American
airplane which was jam-packed with
secret defense equipment they got the
equipment from the plane and they
studied it took all these things from it
yeah they got something but I mean that
it's not big deal
finally 10 days later a letter from the
US ambassador apologized for the death
of the Chinese pilot and the crew was
freed what was left of the ep-3 was
loaded onto a huge Antonov transport
plane direction the United States
the People's Liberation Army did the
same thing after each small battle they
analyzed all-american techniques and
strategies it was almost an obsession
with beijing chinese military
development was entirely oriented
towards a confrontation with the u.s. in
1996 China understood that in car
carriers were the main threat so they
tried to develop arms to counter them
there are several things that the
Chinese have done over the last several
years that played this capability
one of them is they have developed a
larger number of more sophisticated
submarines diesel submarines and
contrary to what a lot of people think
many diesel submarines are quieter than
many nuclear submarines they're very
hard to detect the Chinese have built a
significant number of new types of
diesel submarines they have also
developed a significant number of new
varieties of surface warships both of
these sets of capabilities have
application to the taiwan situation and
the Chinese have deployed the submarines
in some instances two areas
well beyond taiwan they've deployed them
around guam which is now becoming a area
of increased US military presence in the
Pacific they've shown by doing this that
they have the capability to deploy
submarines into far deep water areas and
obviously this becomes a potential
concern to any carrier battle group
commander who wants to bring a carrier
up close to taiwan we saw last October
26 our carrier battlegroup the Kitty
Hawk was in the waters in the vicinity
of Okinawa and all of a sudden there
emerged right in the middle of the
carrier battlegroup a very modern
Chinese submarine that nobody had seen
nobody had heard it came up within a few
miles of the Kitty Hawk itself and we
know that this submarine is equipped
with very advanced torpedoes and that if
it wanted to it
sankar carrier the Chinese know we are
dependent on two things militarily in
Asia number-one satellites number two
aircraft carriers they have demonstrated
us they can take out each one will ever
do that I doubt it
this is what you might call
psychological warfare
passion potion satellites are an
American strong package found out that
if you look closely you can also pay
will point out I listen to give one the
us realize our satellites to control
their entire communications network
useful and that sweetness letter little
bigger today so we were able to verify
this during the most complex the
American military depending too much
money it's electronic and satellites
looking yonder this dependence reminds
me of the Greek electrical machine
powerful Achilles who was invulnerable
our exhibitors you are not high changin
college and satellites a little like the
American Kirklees heal the compassion
the 11th of September 2006 the people's
liberation army launched a missile that
destroyed one of its own satellites the
explosion in space was obviously
immediately detected by the Pentagon
there was constant nation in Washington
nobody had anticipated this Chinese
initiative the Chinese have had an
anti-satellite program for some time now
and it's designed primarily to again to
deter the United States or to complicate
us decisions in the event of a crisis so
yes I think the recent shot by the
missiles by the missile to fire against
their own satellite shoot down their own
satellite was designed to convey a
signal to the United States about the
fact that the Chinese are not simply
going to sit back in their view and
allow the u.s. to have predominant
influence they are going to try to
influence the situation in this case in
sort of an asymmetrical way by
threatening what is regarded as one of
the critical areas of us surveillance
the Chinese army has also developed
another system to blind American
satellites these are giant lasers that
don't destroy them but blind them enough
to make them useless
this isn't science fiction but a
technology that is already in use and
then there exists a still more terrible
weapon a weapon that the Americans and
the French have already mastered its
development was a priority for the
Chinese army the Chinese have followed
very closely the American dependence on
the electromagnetic spectrum the use of
communications and networking among
satellites and ships and command systems
to to fight a war they saw what happened
in the first call for they saw what
happened in Kosovo they watched
Afghanistan and watch the Second Gulf
War and they realized that we are more
and more dependent on the electromatic
magnetic spectrum and and moving
communications back and forth an
electromagnetic pulse which is produced
by detonating a nuclear weapon usually
fries transistors and stops that kind of
communication
an electromagnetic impulse weapon uses a
nuclear explosion to generate
electromagnetic wave when this wave hits
boats or planes it instantaneously
destroys all an electronic equipment
no one dies provided they are far enough
away from the nuclear explosion but the
American battleships totally dependent
on electronics would immediately be
disabled the Pentagon report described a
nuclear that detonated a nuclear
generator EMP ask people in pentagon why
don't just say they have conventional
the generated during this is we don't
want them to know whether we know them
the conventionally generate EMP is less
problematic and it is more useful or
more usable because when you have this
EMP there will be no nuclear fallout
they have been less international
protests they don't have it
I yes it is is like shooting down the
satellite getting the submarine under
the aircraft carrier ep3 it's enough
that it is
look we mean business you pay attention
to what we're doing we're publishing the
figures that our military budget is
going up because we are creating a
strong defense against you
China's developing power isn't only
military the regime has understood it
has to make use of every citizen every
business every organization in its
confrontation with the United States an
arms race wouldn't make sense against
Washington it's a war to control energy
the media culture and raw materials and
facing in America that over consumes
that is deeply in debt and America
weekend by its own excesses China
counters with its best weapon it's
breathtaking economic growth till we
hear pushing the new threat isn't the
classic military think hungry you're a
confrontation between one country to
another apartment today it's no longer
guns against guns Earhart against
airplane or you can see Hank opportune
confrontation takes many forms so many
different areas for example and finance
or they're not even there going to
attacks in all these areas the object
these new kinds of conflicts that the
same as in a conventional military
confrontation force any enemy to
accessor traditions tried still wore
jeep award today goes beyond all your
man you know it's what we call an
unrestricted alternative one has demand
decode the battles in this new war
sometimes they are small events that
seem harmless at first the Sun februari
27th 2007 the main american stock
indexes plunged Paris had just lost
three percent New York is in an uproar
the cause of this mini crash began with
a tornado that originated on the other
side of the world in Shanghai suddenly
and with no apparent reason the stock
market their lost nine percent and it
took the whole planet down with it
nobody really understands what happened
but in New York they pondered the lesson
china had just shown that it could use
its new economic power to destabilize
it's adversary's above all when they are
weakened like the United States by the
subprime crisis beijing uses economy in
several ways first by influence are in
Southeast Asia worldwide to invest money
when the leaders visit that capital then
assigns them agreements
the second is what you said they would
only hint at something they might do for
instance the now 1.2 trillion u.s.
dollars for reserve china as of the end
of March 2007 40-percent of them are
deposited united states treasury bills
so if he decides to transfer that to
euros it was very painful the United
States but patient doesn't need to say
it only hints here and there in
Washington feels a big headache
thus china in America multiply their
battlefields there is the piracy of
Hollywood dvds the recall of Chinese
toys by American builders the reception
of the dalai lama in Washington the
buying up of oil companies by the gene
hundreds of conflicts china in America
think that they have to dominate in
order to survive curious consumed with
over 35 percentage of the whole how to
say global consumption eight times as
their population percentage so they
enjoy this position as the only
superpower and then they can get extra
resources so there is a bipartisan
support stance for u.s. foreign policy
they will remain as the only world
leader in the world and then they will
keep alert against any country no matter
the name of this country China French or
Russian Germany of indium brazier any
country that can thread and the u.s.
Dominus that Arabia pollen
in Washington china has become the major
preoccupation of every administration
china is a competitor in the realms of
economics media and technology world
hegemony is no longer measured by the
number of nuclear warheads Congress has
even created a permanent investigation
Commission unique in its kind whose
mission is to study the economic and
security challenges posed by China
Russia never got that kind of attention
during the times of the Cold War there
is a global platform shatta they have 21
was started in March 1986 called the 863
program and one in March 1997 called the
973 program that the first the 863
program called the torch plan was a
global plan designed to gather and bring
to China dual-use technologies that
could be used to improve child's
technological base in the economy and
industry while improving its military
capacity and and it's it's an organized
thank you know each industry every year
from the central government gets goals
and targets and objectives and gets told
to send people out and go do that so it
is organized and it's not perfect but
it's organized and the 973 plan is a
parallel designed to improve their
capacity and basic research and
innovation people in the state's paying
too much attention to China so there are
some oversensitive and
china then this over since they've leads
to a lot of how they over-exaggerate
conclusion so that's no good to find the
real fact and i think the real fact is
that the economic power of china steel
far ahead up far lack of United States
not to mention military power
if the french foreign intelligence
collection service goes to a student and
says while you're at Tufts University we
want you to go over some laboratory and
gather this student can say I'm busy
it's going to interfere with my
dissertation if the Chinese intelligence
service goes to a student and says we
want you this you want to be is it you
want a passport when you go to the
United States or friends you will write
a dissertation on this you will work on
this project and you will report back to
us or you'll never get a job in China or
your family always it's house and they
have the capacity to do that the United
States cannot maintain itself as a
superpower if we allow our industrial
production to be offshore to be
outsourced and that's what's happening
now we're finding a very large amounts
of of our basic in decor industries and
I don't mean just like steel steel is
one of them copper you know basic you
know resources but things like
semiconductors and when we find that our
semiconductor industry has gone from 12
you know state-of-the-art wafer fabs 23
arm because more and more being built in
taiwan and japan and one on Japan and
South Korea and China if we're allowing
our you know a state-of-the-art
cutting-edge electronic science and
technology research and development move
to China
we we can't survive as a superpower
power
this technological war culminates in
cyberspace china and the u.s. have
armies which are developing solar
soldiers who spy on or attack each
other's computer networks
in March 2006 the US State Department
decided to buy 16,000 computers from the
novo the chinese company that had just
bought out
IBM
some of these computers were meant for
networks that circulates secret defense
data Larry word soul in his commission
intervened to stop the delivery
having been an intelligence officer for
a lot of years 25 years in military
intelligence and having also for a part
of that time work on counterintelligence
and signals intelligence communications
intelligence that I know it was
technically possible to alter or embed
either software or even hardware into a
computer that would allow someone access
to a whole network
the entire Bureau of export controls of
the department of commerce was attacked
and shut down by turns out hackers from
China the state department itself lost a
bureau and all its computers by hackers
from China the National Defense
University of the United States had its
computer systems right now and the Naval
War College had its computer systems
shutdown other computer systems
government computer systems have been
attacked and I think general Cartwright
the commander of the US Strategic
Command has recently testified from the
Congress about this so I knew these
things were going on there's more going
on and that we learned about on the
Commission because we do have access to
classified information i can only say
that in many cases the United States
knows these attacks are coming from
China and knows that they're coming even
from specific organizations in China but
I can't go into the details on who
follow John McCauley the war on the
Internet has as old as the internets
don't that you time and one cat say that
this was enjoying his invention kind of
had our maple ave in America the CIA and
NASA annoyed by 5,000 people to work on
the Internet
well they have the largest internet
surveillance and listening center just
elegy yellow change so it's true war
exists on the internet like I caught it
on the war has begun without a single
missile being fired without a world
nursing look at the war has begun
it is all these new technology including
the Lord etomidate and many civil
technologies also have military
applications
this is especially drank the entire
electrical insulation the interment
family I got you know while their new
battlefields in an unrestricted war
my family thought an indication of what
the media or finance or business he had
beneath it all these are included
accomplishing way totally China nobody
the diana is a warm cozy there is real
antagonism silly Sam Hardy was trying to
take advantage of their adversary tell
me what a facial angle during the game
it's a no firewall and really odd times
and unrestricted were standing this you
should click on the cheeto finely
this unrestricted war has already begun
almost everywhere in the world there is
a fight for oil for water for resources
that are dwindling in the eyes of the
West because of China's development
America uses its military might to
assure its power and guarantee it's
vital supplies China employees and
asymmetrical strategy and looks for its
adversaries weak points
nevertheless this war is apparent
everywhere in the world in North Korea
my amar Iran order for in all the hot
spots China and America are opposing
each other in the wings
remember the words of ding Joe pain that
cannot be two tigers on the same Hill
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