Thứ Tư, 5 tháng 12, 2018

Youtube daily Dec 5 2018

They say Virginia is for lovers.

(Katherine laughing) And I love this house.

(up tempo folk music)

Today we are looking at a $3.25 million dollar

Tudor estate in McLean, Virginia.

It's 2,500 square feet.

Has a charming exterior

and I believe lots of surprises inside.

(cork popping)

I love it.

I am a sucker for Tudors.

I think charm just out the wazoo.

It kind of reminds me of a chicer version

of what Belle and Maurice live in

in Beauty and the beast,

It could be-- If Belle moved to Virginia.

(Betsy gasping) The windows.

That is really pretty.

That really is storybook, picturesque.

Yeah, front door.

What are your thoughts on the containers?

I like them.

Love a boxwood situation.

Mm hm.

And I feel like it's nicer than a,

you know, less upkeep than a hedge.

I love a hedge. Right

But this is some hedges for dummies.

Right.

(Katherine laughing) Yeah.

The door and windows, that really is

straight out of Beauty and the Beast.

I mean, mark my words.

Go back and look at it. Mm hm.

Her house not the Beast.

Right.

The Beast's castle was a little austere for my taste.

(Katherine laughing) Yeah.

I think it's a beautiful entryway.

I think so, too.

The chandelier is a lot

but I think when you have an entry like that

you need the grand staircase and the imposing chandelier.

This is also giving me some ghost potential,

vibes. (Katherine laughing)

I feel like it's too shiny for ghosts.

No, it's not.

I just feel like, you walk in there late at night,

it's like, ugh, that's a big dark room.

Who would the ghost be that inhabited it?

I don't know.

Hopefully someone nice.

Hopefully a nice ghost.

Yeah.

There's that staircase again.

Mm hm.

Looks like something I could trip right down

or trip right up. Me too, me too.

Have you ever slid down a banister?

Not successfully.

(Ladies laughing)

I feel like that's an American pastime,

to slide down a banister.

Like, every good movie ever has a--

Yeah. Banister slide.

Well, that's what, like, the cool kids do.

Love the paneling, yeah.

I think they were smart to leave it as is.

What do you think about the fireplace?

It's pretty serious.

(Betsy laughing)

There's not much I can do about it, but--

No that's true.

Actually, I mean, I think I like it, for this.

You know, you like, you see the trees in the background.

The room is really cozy.

I think you just have to embrace that this

is going to be, like, a heavy, cozy house/room.

Oh, look at the fireplace.

They really were sticking with a theme here

with the triangular stone fireplace.

Points for consistency.

Fancy things happen in sitting rooms.

Fancy, happy, quiet times.

Yeah, I can't wait to get some really thoughtful

cards from you in your sitting room.

One day.

Well, if you can lend me $3.25 million

maybe you'll get one.

Oh, okay.

This is not what I expected from the kitchen.

It's so light and bright

in comparison to everything else.

And kinda small, in a good way.

So, I love an all-white kitchen but I especially

love this one because you've got the wood

to kind of temper the white.

So, it feels modern.

But rooted in a little tradition.

Mm hmm, totally.

It's like this is still an approachable

space to be in.

Back to the staircase.

Just tempting us.

Views.

That looks like a chandelier that Sia could swing from.

(Katherine laughing)

I won't sing.

Please, do.

Maybe I will.

(Betsy clearing her throat)

(Katherine laughing)

Save that for our next karaoke night.

I feel like I would become really dramatic

if I lived in this house.

You feel like you would become dramatic

if you lived in this house?

Yes.

Mm, wow.

'Cause I'm not currently.

She already brings the drama on a daily basis.

Again drama.

(Ladies laughing)

I think I would get, like, velvet robes.

Exclusively velvet, are you?

I would never leave the house.

I watched Gone With the Wind in it's entirety

the other afternoon for the first time in awhile.

Oh, just the other afternoon?

Just the other afternoon.

It was a four-hour endeavor in my man cave

and it was lovely.

I feel like Scarlet at one point wore this really nice

dressing gown with some little feathery foofie

action happening on the sleeves.

And her hair looked dynamite.

And her waist was 18 inches.

Right, must be nice.

Must be nice. (ladies laughing)

I think I would wear something like that.

Extravagant.

And she was high drama.

So, Right.

A tennis court for my long-lost hobby.

Oh, yeah.

You used to take tennis lessons.

I did.

How were you?

Not great but really good attitude, I would say.

(Betsy laughing)

Really good attitude.

Good time.

Here for a good time, not a long time.

Not a winning match.

I would happily live in this house.

I would happily live in this house, also.

I'm afraid I might become a major introvert.

And never leave.

I have a fear that I would become an even more dramatic

person than I am right now, so.

It's probably best I don't have $3.25 million dollars

to spare.

But if you do, live your best--

Call us. Dramatic life.

(Ladies laughing)

Yes.

I'm already so at risk of being Grey Gardens.

(Ladies laughing)

Yeah, that's such a good point.

For more infomation >> This Virginia Tudor House Has a $2,980,000 Price Tag | Great Estates | Southern Living - Duration: 4:59.

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Corporate Tax Breaks Starve Schools Of BILLIONS Of Dollars - Duration: 3:57.

According to a new report by Reuters tax breaks for major corporations from cities and states

have starved schools of one point $8,000,000,000 in just the last year, one point $8,000,000,000

that could have gone to a struggling school systems.

It could have gone to giving teachers a much needed raise.

It could have hired in some areas, depending on the level of tax breaks they gave.

Corporations could have hired 28,000 new teachers just in some cities, but instead we gave that

money to multibillion dollar corporations just to entice them to bring their headquarters,

bring their new offices, bring their manufacturing to those specific areas.

We are starving school districts have money to give more subsidies, more tax breaks, and

more gifts to the top.

One percent education in the United States has been on a steady downward slide for decades

now.

School districts mostly thanks to Republican budget cuts have been slashed, denied funding

that they desperately need.

Using textbooks that are 10 to 20 years old and falling apart, not able to keep up with

technology in the classroom, having instead to rely on outside grants, charitable groups

or celebrities coming in to raise money for particular schools because that money is not

coming from the government as it should be.

The city government, the state government, we're having to go elsewhere to find it and

now we know where that money's actually going.

According to Reuters, they're massive report here.

It's going to corporations, these same corporations that are already pulling in billions of dollars

in profits every single year and this is pretty much what happened recently with Amazon and

as I pointed out at the time, all corporations do this.

They, they play cities and states against each other.

Try to get the best deal, get the most tax breaks, get the most subsidies and incentives

and then they pick a winner and then that city ends up losing money because they're

giving so much away to that corporation because typically they don't just create 10 to 20,000

new jobs in that area.

Yes, they do create new jobs in that area, but a lot of them, a lot of those 10 to 20,000

jobs or however many it is, they promise they actually just bring in workers from other

states, you know, people from their other branches come in and now they work there,

so the unemployment rate in those areas doesn't actually drop.

In fact, depending on what kind of corporation comes in there, if it's a Walmart or other

kinds of big box store, the unemployment rate can actually increase as does the number of

people needing public assistance, but rather than give this money to these massive corporations,

we could be giving it to schools.

We could be helping the next generation get a better head start in life and instead we

want to give it to people who already have billions of dollars sitting in the bank because

we think it might look good in a campaign one day.

That's what this is about.

That's why politicians love to brag about corporations moving into their areas saying,

look what we did.

We rolled out the red carpet for Intel, or Amazon, or Microsoft, or Boeing.

When in reality, they gave away everything that that city had to offer starving students,

starving teachers, increasing the need for public assistance and actually cutting funding

for that as well because we got to give more money to that corporation.

It looks great on the campaign trail, but when you look at it on paper, which is what

Reuters did here, it's an absolute disaster for cities and states.

For more infomation >> Corporate Tax Breaks Starve Schools Of BILLIONS Of Dollars - Duration: 3:57.

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Drama: "Hopes Up" - Last Call with Carson Daly (Musical Performance) - Duration: 2:46.

For more infomation >> Drama: "Hopes Up" - Last Call with Carson Daly (Musical Performance) - Duration: 2:46.

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Jameela Jamil with Jackie Tohn - Last Call with Carson Daly (Interview) - Duration: 5:23.

For more infomation >> Jameela Jamil with Jackie Tohn - Last Call with Carson Daly (Interview) - Duration: 5:23.

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Drama: "Forever's Gone" - Last Call with Carson Daly (Musical Performance) - Duration: 3:57.

For more infomation >> Drama: "Forever's Gone" - Last Call with Carson Daly (Musical Performance) - Duration: 3:57.

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Jackie Tohn: "Maniac" - Last Call with Carson Daly (Musical Performance) - Duration: 3:13.

For more infomation >> Jackie Tohn: "Maniac" - Last Call with Carson Daly (Musical Performance) - Duration: 3:13.

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Safe Stocks to Buy While the Market is Struggling: Consumer Staples - Duration: 31:01.

Vincent Shen: Welcome to Industry Focus, the podcast that dives into a different sector

of the stock market every day. I'm your host, Vincent Shen. It's Tuesday, November 13th.

Joining me on the show today via Skype is senior Motley Fool contributor, Asit Sharma.

Hey, Asit, how's it going? Asit Sharma: Good, man. How are you?

Shen: I am doing pretty well. Enjoyed spending some time with you over the weekend. It was

definitely nice to get down to North Carolina, catch up with some friends, catch up with you.

That was really nice. Sharma: We had an awesome time. I really enjoyed

being able to hang out with you and your lovely wife Gina, also with my wife Dil and a couple

of your friends. We had some very delicious Mexican food.

Shen: Yeah, those tacos were good. Sharma: I nibbled a little bit on Dil's.

I don't know why I walked into one of the few really authentic joints in Raleigh and ordered the burrito.

A long story we don't have time for today. To cut it short, I had a great

time seeing you. It was really fun. Listeners, if you have a chance to catch dinner with

Vincent Shen, you should never refuse. A great evening.

Shen: [laughs] Alright, before we get into our main topic, we have to spend at least

a few minutes talking about Amazon. Last year, in September, you and I first discussed the

news that Amazon would be opening a second headquarters, expanding outside of the current

campus in Seattle, and showing just how much pull and influence that the company has in

this country. The past year has been pretty much a rat race among many major metropolitan

areas pitching Amazon on why they would make a great site for what they're calling HQ2.

The official decision was actually announced this morning. There have been rumors floating

for the past several weeks about this decision being finalized. We're looking at a split

for the new headquarters between Crystal City in Virginia and Long Island City in Queens, New York.

Crystal City or National Landing, which is

what they're trying to rebrand it to, is not too far from Fool HQ. I actually pass through

that area every day during my commute on the Metro. The news just came out this morning.

We talked about it a few times. Are you surprised at all, Asit, by these choices?

Sharma: I'm not surprised in the least. These are two great cities, great locations if you're

a company with such a gargantuan reach. Both offer much in terms of an educated workforce,

proximity to really prime -- not to make a pun there -- shipping points for the

East Coast. Also, I think the choice of Crystal City obviously has political implications

for Amazon. As it grows larger, it'll be closer to the politicians who are making rules which

might regulate it. Being close to New York City, which is the nation's financial center,

doesn't hurt, either. These are great choices for Amazon. They will add much to the local economies.

I am a little curious. Both of those points

are congested already, in terms of commuter traffic. Both have surrounding areas that

they can build out, in terms of logistics. I'm curious to see what will happen in the future.

I live not too far from Northern Virginia, so I anticipate it'll be much more crowded getting in.

Shen: Yeah. I'll say that the whole HQ2 process,

I feel like it comes up at least a few times a month in conversation for people who live

in this area, especially now that there have been rumors that they were coming close to

making this decision. You think about 25,000 new jobs, lots of money, potentially billions

of dollars in investments. It's a big deal. But the reaction this morning, it seems like,

around HQ and talking to some of my friends and family, it seems to be a mix depending on

if you're a homeowner or not, and how it might affect home prices in the area.

A lot of people also seem to be grumbling about the idea of more traffic, higher housing prices.

Another big question that also remains, that I know a lot of people are curious about,

is basically the full extent of the incentives that Amazon will receive from the local and

state governments in Virginia and New York. In the press release, the company mentions

over $550 million of incentives for the potential 25,000 jobs it's bringing to the Crystal City region,

the Virginia region. Additional details will become public in the coming days and weeks.

They're certainly going to be an important part of the equation for the communities that

will soon be homes of the new HQ2 campuses.  Now, let's get into the rest of our discussion.

That's what role consumer and retail can play for investors in a weak market.

We bring this up now, because yesterday, the S&P, DOW, and NASDAQ each declined 2-3%. All three indices

are down significantly from their highs earlier this year. Volatility has been the name of

the game for a few weeks now. Asit and I talked about what's driving some of this volatility

two weeks ago. But that doesn't necessarily make it any easier to sift through all these headlines,

these predictions that you see that the next bear market is coming,

it's on its way. As this bear sentiment grows, we're seeing certain names in consumer and

retail outperform. Specifically, we're talking about consumer staples and the value

that they can have in your portfolio as a source of stability and diversification,

especially when you're hoping to play defense without panicking and selling out of all your positions.

I remember back in Econ 101, my professor discussed certain sectors of the economy,

concepts like inelasticity of demand. Asit, can you break down consumer staples for us,

and the appeal that they can have in down markets?

Sharma: Absolutely. Consumer staples are pretty much what they sound like. They're the staples

that you buy every day that exist in your household. We're going to talk a little bit

in this show about Procter & Gamble. They give you maybe the easiest way to think of

consumer staples. They have everything from Tide to packaged food products that they own

and that consumers buy. Consumer staples, the things that you buy before the layer of

your income that we call discretionary income. I'm going to briefly mention discretionary

consumer stocks as a group, as well. We'll touch on that during the show. Discretionary

income is also just what it sounds like. It's the money that you can afford to use for the

things that are treating yourself in life, maybe going out to eat or buying stuff from

amazon.com. Amazon is thought of as a discretionary stock.

These are the two poles of consumer stocks. I should say, these are the traditional ways

to think of consumer stocks. On this show, of course, we talked a few months ago in our

future episode about how the line between tech and consumer stocks is becoming vague.

Some stocks which we now classify as consumer stocks might as well be tech companies. But

we're going back to bedrock definitions today. I'll flip it back to you, Vince, so we can

dive into the rest of the tickers that we have for folks today.

Shen: A big thing that I want to cover to start things off and to offer some perspective

as to why this sector, these consumer staples, these names, this part of the economy, can be

very powerful during times when things are uncertain, people are more bearish in

the market. It's the performance of certain proxies. Asit, one that you turned me on to

before the show the show is the Consumer Staples ETF, ticker XLP. You look at it

as a proxy for this sub-sector. You only have to look at the past month to see how its trading has

diverged from the broad market. Since the big sell-off in mid-October, XLP is up almost

9% while the S&P 500 is flat over the same period. That outperformance also shows through

year to date in more recent months. You shared the chart with me, Asit. How did those numbers pan out?

Sharma: Let's start with the year to date numbers.

This is from Fidelity. You can also find this if you go to the S&P website and

look at their sector funds. Fidelity's numbers show that year to date, the healthcare sector

has the largest gain. It's gained 11%. Next is consumer discretionary, which is up 8%.

I'm rounding here. Information technology is next, then utilities. Information technology

is up about 7%, utilities up 4%. Everyone who's followed market understands

that conditions have really deteriorated over the last three to six months. I'm going to

now read you a three-month view of market sector leaders. The first is consumer staples.

That's up 6% in a three-month period. Utilities are up 3.5%. Healthcare is up only 2%.

Real estate is up less than 1%. Every other sector, from communication services to financials

to information technology to energy, they're all negative over the last three-month period.

Shen: I'll also give you a more historical look. Take 2008 and the lead-up to the financial crisis.

That was a year when the S&P 500 shed just under 40%. A huge scare for investors

across the market. The XLP during that time took a hit of just 17% that year. It's not

hard to see how having part of your portfolio invested in consumer staples during that time

could have softened the blow from the rest of the market as things were selling off.

I took a look at the fact sheet for XLP. The top industries represented in it --

these are the things that arguably, you can't go without. That's the main theme for these industries.

Think about food and beverages, household products. Tobacco is also traditionally included

in this category, as well. Among the top ten holdings for XLP, you have companies like

Procter & Gamble, which we mentioned, Coca-Cola, Walmart, Costco, Altria, among others.

These are supposed to be the companies that remain stable

even in these weaker market or economic conditions.

People need what they sell regardless of those conditions.

Next up, we'll look a little more closely at what these consumer staple companies can offer,

and then some of the stocks that fit into the category, and how they they're individually

bucking the bearish market trends in 2018. Alright, Asit. I know there were at least

a few tickers in other aspects of this consumer staples category that you wanted to highlight,

and how they've outperformed this year. Where do you want to start?

Sharma: I want to dive in with the largest holding of the XLP. Listeners, I'm going to

pause for two seconds while you try to guess the largest holding. I think I already

gave it away earlier in the show. It's Procter & Gamble, which is 13% of this fund.

I know there are some board members at

Procter & Gamble who, these past few weeks, are thinking,

"How do you like me now?" This was an unloved stock. I'm going to give you the annual average return

of Procter & Gamble going back to this period that Vince talked about, the beginning of

the financial crisis. I did a search for an anchor date of January 1, 2008. The company

has only returned about 7% a year in this great bull market, versus the S&P's nearly

13% annual return. That's because it's had very slow organic growth. It's had to compete

with the smaller brands that have taken advantage of e-commerce, and how cheap it is to build

out a new brand and take it to market. It's had some other difficulties in its approach

to brands, which we've talked about on this show. Listeners are familiar with the plethora

of products that it's had in the past. It has reduced that product line. It's reduced

its brand line. Still is looking for a turnaround. Of course, we've also recently talked about board

member Nelson Peltz, who's an activist shareholder, looking to effect change at the company.

The reason that Procter & Gamble, which was down almost 26% just a few months ago,

is now even for the year and is one of the best-performing stocks in the S&P 500 over that period,

is that it's a stalwart flight-to-quality company. When you hear the talking heads on TV mention

defensive stocks, and terms like "flight-to-quality," they're really talking about these companies

which grow revenues very slowly. The more stable the cash flow, the less volatility

there is in the earnings. What becomes a black mark on a company when the market is rising,

and technology companies are grabbing everyone's attention, those become virtues when folks

are starting to run scared and thinking about, "What's going to happen to my capital?

I had it invested in some high-flying stocks, and I see they're down about 20-25% in just the

last couple of weeks. How will I preserve that capital?" This is why a stock like Procter & Gamble

becomes so attractive. I should mention that, in addition to the

really stable cash flows it's known for, it still throws off that widows and orphans dividend yield,

which we've talked about on this show. I looked this morning, it's currently at 3%.

That's not a bad yield if you have to park some of your money.

The reason that this stock in particular is starting to stand out on many lists is because

of the relative underperformance over the last few years. The thinking is, there's some

upside here, especially if Peltz can initiate some of the change he wants. Maybe this could

be more than a 7% return, and it provides that defense in an uncertain market.

What are your thoughts, Vince, about P&G? Shen: I think that's a great overview.

It's funny. We last talked about P&G in late September, and really, I don't think anything has changed

fundamentally since then in terms of the story. We know that around the middle of the year,

the stock got a boost thanks to the push from activist investor Nelson Peltz. But we're

not at a point yet where the company has come out and officially announced that they're

adopting any of these major changes that Peltz has offered up as a way for the company to return

to the stronger growth and better portfolio of brands that it had. But the stock is up

over 17% in the past month. I think you summed it up. Even though the story hasn't changed,

as somebody looking in from the outside, you have a company that is looking to pay $7 billion

in dividends and do $5 billion of share buybacks for fiscal 2019, that has to be looking pretty

good right now, even though they've been struggling relatively for the company, in terms of growing

and maintaining their market share. This is still a company that has a portfolio of many

well-known, household-leading brands. I think that really does sum up this idea of the flight-to-quality.

Another company that I'd like to move on to, and I can't help but chuckle a little bit

about this one, is McDonald's. The company has really roared back in recent years under

the leadership of CEO Steve Easterbrook. Personally, I swear, all my friends will groan when McDonald's

comes up. It's something they don't eat anymore, they complain it's unhealthy. But privately,

one-on-one, I'll talk to my friends, and they'll admit to the occasional guilty pleasure drive-through

for a Big Mac and French fries. And I feel the same way.

Given the success that we've seen with things like all-day breakfast, a better value menu,

they've been investing in new technology like kiosk ordering, the re-franchising efforts,

I think the company has a lot of long-term irons in the fire to help it stand out even

more in a weak market. You look at the most recent quarterly results, U.S. comps were up 2.4%

while international markets grew 4.6%. Revenue is down from that re-franchising effort

that I mentioned, but the bottom line grew 17%. These franchising fees are far more stable,

exactly what investors want in this kind of consumer staple business. The chain is renovating

1,000 locations every quarter. Delivery is now available 15,000 restaurants. Add to that

the 2.5% dividend yield and a market-beating 7% gain for the stock year to date, and this

really jumps out as an interesting option now for somebody who isn't looking to completely

clear out their portfolio. They're looking for something to play defense, like we've

talked about. What do you think? Sharma: I think McDonald's is a surprising

source of growth in the fast food industry. Surprising because it's so large. One would

think that the smaller rivals would take the available market share. But you're right, Vince.

Since CEO Steve Easterbrook took over, the company's made a lot of rapid change.

It's aligned itself with a more progressive eating out culture, which appeals to millennials.

It's removed some harmful ingredients from its list. To point to the innovations that

you mentioned, I'm especially interested in delivery. That's not just a U.S. story,

but it's a global story. McDonald's has really ramped up its global sales. You mentioned

4.6% comparable sales internationally versus that slower U.S. growth. It used to be that

McDonald's depended more on North America for expansion of revenue and margins.

That equation has slowly flipped.

Under Easterbrook, who really honed his chops in the U.K.,

I see that continuing.  I've always been interested in this stock.

I think there are more guilty-pleasure-seekers, as you mentioned, than folks realize. I do think

that the company has an in to the newer generation. Their app has been pretty successful.

I know anecdotally -- take this with a grain of salt, maybe as much salt as you might find

in a Big Mac, listeners -- anecdotally, my teen sons use that app, and we have always

succumbed to guilty pleasures. I love McDonald's coffee. I can't say that we eat there

all the time. But, I do think they've gotten into the millennial mindset, especially with the delivery.

Here's something that will interest readers.

First of all, this company isn't found in the staples fund, but it's found in its sister fund,

which is the Consumer Discretionary Select SPDR Fund, ticker XLY. It's supposedly

a discretionary stock, but I want to make an argument here with this stock and one other

stock that's coming up that we're going to talk about. In times of declining income,

a stock like McDonald's is a staple stock. When you drop down from eating from a fancy

restaurant to a fast-casual or quick-service restaurant, of course McDonald's will benefit.

So, I always think of it as a staple more than a discretionary stock.

The wealth effect is very interesting to think about in relation to McDonald's, too.

Vince brought up his college economics class. Here's one from mine. When the stock market declines,

consumers feel less rich, and they tend to pull back their spending, which can then have

a reinforcing effect on the economy, especially a consumption-based economy like we have here

in the U.S. I think McDonald's can actually benefit if the stock market goes down or if

the economy really does start to, indeed, slow. Either way, it will see some tailwinds.

Last thing I want to say about this company. If you went back to January 1st, 2008, and looked

at the company's total return since then -- listeners, I'll pause again. What do you think it would

average in the last several years? Almost 11 years now. McDonald's has returned 31%

per year on an annualized total return basis since the Great Recession. I kid you not.

Shen: That's an unbelievable number. When you mentioned that to me before the show,

I was blown away. That's the kind of number that you'd expect not from McDonalds,

but maybe some of these high-flying tech companies. The next one that we'll look at is TJX Companies.

This is another business model that I think, like you mentioned with the wealth effect,

and in general, can thrive in weaker economic environments and markets thanks to the focus

it has on quality at a discount. The company reported 6% comps growth in its fiscal second quarter.

Year to date top line growth is in the double digits at 11%. All of this is for

a company with over 4,000 stores, and management sees an end goal of about 6,100 locations.

This is not a small chain. It's a big, multi-billion-dollar business

still managing to put up those kinds of numbers.

And, as a brick-and-mortar-focused retailer, their e-commerce business is still

very young and only starting to get its legs. Still a very small part of the company.

What else stood out to you, Asit? Sharma: TJX Companies, to me, is a twofer.

It's a two-for-one buy. You get a defensive place to rest your money, but you also get,

in acquiring this stock, a growth narrative. We've talked about TJX off and on on the show.

I can't remember us devoting an episode to it. One of the things that I really love about

this company is that it has an inordinately acute grasp of inventory. It has buying teams

dispersed all around the world, and they just specialize in buying discontinued inventory,

discounted inventory, inventory from other retailers. They put it on the shelves. Fashionistas love

to come in and see what's new every week. It's a very lucrative model that has served

TJX Companies well. What's caught my eye recently, I wrote an article

a couple months back about how TJX utilized its square footage. I noticed that

the new square footage growth is actually going not into its core fashion stores like

Marshalls and TJ Maxx, but more towards this new line of business personified by the Home Goods store.

The company has made a move into the home furnishings industry. It's taking

its inventory chops and applying that with some pretty nice merchandise. Those stores

are doing quite well. Again, this is in the discretionary version

of the ETF that we've talked about; but to me, it's a staple stock when the economy goes bad.

Those who are buying clothes that are top-of-the-line start going more to TJX to see

what's on their shelves, maybe at a discount. The same with home furnishings. We saw in

the recession that stores like Home Depot, which offered folks a way to spend on their

homes without buying a new house -- that is, renovating or putting in new furnishings --

this is the type of line of business that would benefit TJX if the economy indeed goes south.

I like it for all those levels. The stock is up 42% this year. That's because

you have this twofer. Investors acknowledge and recognize that it's a safe place to put money,

but it's also a growth story. What are your thoughts on TJX?

Shen: You're right. I'm not sure if we've had a single episode dedicated to TJX before,

but it's come up a few times -- and in one episode, at least, as a best-in-class retailer,

maybe a special shout out for the brick-and mortar-focused category that we really like here.

I know a lot of Fools are fans of how TJX is flexible with the layout of its stores, what those

store formats look like, and ultimately having very strong management of its inventory,

keeping people coming into the store, showing really strong comps growth, and specifically maintaining

strong traffic levels. So, keeping customers coming back to the store again and again.

Definitely another one to keep an eye on. We have a few more minutes, and I want to

make sure we have time to cover Walmart. I feel like this is a gold standard for a consumer

staples retailer. Going back to 2008, that year and I mentioned and the lead-up

to the financial crisis, the lows reached during that time, the S&P down 40% for the year.

Walmart was actually up 18% that year. Just a single data point for you to consider.

More recently, this is a story that I think shares a lot of similarities with McDonald's.

Management's focused on growing its e-commerce arm. They're focused on investing and acquiring

all these new businesses and taking generally more market share. It's a long-term focus

that I like to see, even if it means that there's going to be a near-term hit to profitability

in the next fiscal year or two. It's a focus that seems like management at both of these companies --

McDonald's and Walmart -- are taking on. I think it'll be good for shareholders

looking out five, ten years and further. What are your thoughts here?

Sharma: Longtime listeners will remember that we devoted an episode to Flipkart,

which was Walmart's great e-commerce acquisition. That's the up-and-coming e-commerce online

operation in India. One thing that's really caught my eye since that show is Walmart's

attention to, again, millennials and Gen Z. It's invested in a number of brands.

I'll read a few. Bonobos, ModCloth, Moosejaw and ShoeBuy. These are non-traditional categories

for Walmart. It's investing where millennials are shopping and in the brands that millennials like.

It's also really ramped up its own private label offerings. Fashion turns out to be a

large opportunity in the economy in good years and bad years. Walmart, in doing this,

is extending beyond that brick-and-mortar, away from what jet.com, another acquisition,

brings it, which is a quasi-competitor to Amazon, and more of an individualized,

standalone concept with each of these brands that it acquires. It's diversifying that base out.

Of course, when your revenues are in the several hundreds of billions of dollars a year,

it takes a long time for an effort like this to provide diversification. But we've seen

it acquire delivery companies, logistics companies, waging this multi-front battle with Amazon.

I would urge listeners to look beyond Amazon to a future where retail stores still exists,

consumers are still going into Walmart stores and buying products which you today might

not associate with this company. I also wanted to note, in the most recent quarter,

Walmart's U.S. comps rose 4.5%, which was the best performance in ten years. I believe

they're reporting results on the 15th of October in just a few days. We'll get to see if that

trend continues. It's a long-term classic defensive play, but again, there's a growth

story in here that's starting to emerge. Shen: Thanks, Asit. We have like two more minutes,

so I want to give you an opportunity. With this broad conversation that we've had

on the idea of consumer staples as defense during market downturns, what's a big takeaway

you want to leave our listeners with? Sharma: The biggest takeaway, we really haven't

mentioned this, but it's probably a question that many listeners have as we pull to the

end of this show. If I buy these stocks tomorrow, am I just going to suffer another big downturn,

as I have with other names in my portfolio? My answer is, we might. You never know how

low the market can go when there is a bear market. However, each of these companies is

grouped around 21X forward earnings. That's fairly cheap, given today's market. The only

outlier is McDonald's, which is trading at 24X one-year forward earnings. Take TJX,

even with its 42% rise, it's still comparatively cheap when you look at the broader market.

You have some true defensive muscle in here. I would urge listeners to explore these and

other big quality staple stocks in more detail, and maybe start nibbling, adding some defensive

positions to their portfolios. Shen: Reiterating some of the warnings that

we had, the takeaways that we had when we talked about what's driving the recent volatility

-- this was two weeks ago on the show. Panicking: not the right move. Selling out of everything:

not the right move. You're in a position right now to think about your portfolio. If you're

worried about something like this, like a downturn, consider: am I diversified? If you're not,

these are the kinds of sectors and companies that you can look at to help bolster things.

That's just one of many routes that you can take.

Asit, as always, thanks for joining us. Sharma: Absolutely. As always, this was

a load of fun. See you guys soon. Shen: Fools, thanks for tuning in.

People on the program may own companies discussed on the show, and The Motley Fool may have

formal recommendations for or against any stocks mentioned, so don't buy or sell anything

based solely on what you hear during the program. Fool on!

For more infomation >> Safe Stocks to Buy While the Market is Struggling: Consumer Staples - Duration: 31:01.

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Top Healthcare Stock Picks: Insulet, Wellcare, and Celgene (PODD, WCG, CELG) - Duration: 35:58.

Shannon Jones: Welcome to Industry Focus, the show that dives into a different sector

of the stock market every day. Today is Wednesday, November the 28th and we're talking Healthcare.

I'm your host, Shannon Jones, and I am joined via Skype by healthcare specialist and all-around

good guy, Todd Campbell. Todd, how are you? Todd Campbell: I'm doing great! I think

I'm finally recovering from Pie Fest 2018, the post-turkey day festivities took a toll on me,

I think I'm coming out the other side.  Jones: But it was so worth it, wasn't it, Todd?

Campbell: It absolutely worth it.

And the three days afterwards of sandwiches. Oh, man! Jones: Lots of turkey sandwiches, that's for sure.

I've literally been in the gym every day since I've gotten back into town, trying

to work off the five or six pounds I put on just from the few days we were out.

Campbell: [laughs] I'm trying to figure out how it took me a year to lose five or six pounds

going to the gym, and one weekend to gain it all back. It is what it is!

Jones: I'm really excited about today's show. For our listeners, we're actually going to

be diving into our top healthcare picks. I'm excited for a couple of reasons. One, Todd,

it was actually hard for me to decide my top picks, especially with the stock market being down.

So many now are at such attractive prices. Did you find that, too, when you were trying

to decide which stocks to choose? Campbell: Yeah! I was actually looking at

my portfolio, and probably like a lot of our listeners, many names in my portfolio

fell a lot more than the broader market, and offer some really nice opportunity here.

What I finally decided to do, and I don't know if this is the approach you took or not,

is to say, I'm not going to look at my own portfolio names right now. Instead, I'm going to highlight

a couple of stocks that are on sale right now that I have on my watchlist and that could

be attractive buys now. That's the approach I took to try and whittle it down. But you're right,

there so many opportunities because -- listeners, unless you've been in a post-turkey day,

food coma, hate to break the bad news to you -- the stock market has been sliding.

We're in correction territory with a drop of about 10% at the low since September.

Jones: Certainly healthcare is definitely not immune to that. Oftentimes, you'll see

healthcare take the biggest swings when the market is in a downturn. And yes, just like you,

I was like, I'm not going to look at any of the stocks that I own. I'm actually

going to go outside. There are some stocks that Fools around HQ have been talking about,

and I thought now could be a really good time to start diving into them. I'm excited to

talk about that. Certainly on the biotech end of healthcare, there is always a good

batch of beaten down biotechs, which we'll get to. What I'm hoping our listeners will

get today is a wide range of different types of stocks that hopefully appeal to many different

types of investors. Campbell: Right. To set the stage a little bit,

I looked at the healthcare ETFs that I like to follow to get a gauge of how the

sectors and industries in healthcare are doing. One of them is the XLV. That's down still

about 4% from its peak in September and early October. At one point, it was down 8.3%. It's

bounced back a little bit. The biotech ETF that I like to follow is the IBB. That's still

down 14% from its late September, early October peak. It got down as much as 16%.

As I mentioned at the top of the show, a lot of those individual stocks are down much more

than that. Two stocks I want to highlight today, both of them are down more than 20%.

Jones: Let's dive into your first one. This is a stock that one of our fellow colleagues,

Brian Feroldi, has talked quite a bit about. Tell us about your first top healthcare pick.

Campbell: We've talked in the past on the show a lot about diabetes and what a major

market opportunity that is for investors. One of the companies that I want to highlight

today is Insulet, ticker PODD. They make a small, saucer-shaped insulin pump that diabetics

can wear for up to three days. It's the only tubeless pump that's on the market.

They were trading at about $106 at the peak in October. They're down about 24% from that,

trading around $81 today. Jones: It certainly sounds like Insulet shares

could go lower. One of the things in researching for this episode, I'm impressed with the fact that,

obviously the diabetes market is huge, but they've got a drug delivery system that

could even expand beyond diabetes. Campbell: It's really interesting to watch

and see how companies are starting to try and reach out and revolutionize diabetes treatment

with these different devices that basically allow patients to have a much easier time

in figuring out when they need to take their insulin, and then automating the delivery

of that insulin so that patients no longer have to go through this process of multiple

finger sticks a day to see if they need to have those insulin injections, and then,

of course, taking those actual injections afterwards. There are 30 million people in the U.S. with diabetes,

including 1.5 million people roughly with Type 1 diabetes, which is the form of

diabetes in which those patients don't produce any insulin. Those patients have a very high burden,

as far as having to do these finger sticks and take these multiple injections every day.

Companies like Insulet have come out and developed

different devices that can be used in combination with one another to try and make that whole

process simpler, easier and more effective. Studies have shown that the typical diabetic

is going to spend about 70% of their day outside of their targeted blood sugar range.

That is bad news because it can contribute to the disease progressing more quickly,

causing kidney damage, nerve damage, cardiovascular damage.

Insulet has this Omnipod, which is this insulin delivery device that can be worn. It's the

only tubeless one that's on the market. It's positioned to benefit from the fact that we've

got this huge and growing population of diabetes patients. The Institute for Alternative Futures

estimates that we could go from 30 million Americans to 55 million Americans with diabetes

by 2030. There's a huge demographic tailwind supporting demand for this company.

Jones: Speaking about the convenience and advantages of pumps themselves, it certainly

makes sense when you can automate this insulin delivery. But this certainly doesn't mean

that Insulet is in a field all by itself. It's definitely got some competition. Is that right?

Campbell: Yeah, and one of those competitors

is very deep-pocketed, it's Medtronic, ticker MDT. They have a big diabetes business.

Not only do they produce insulin pumps that compete against the Omnipod, they also produce continuous

glucose monitors that are used to evaluate your blood sugar in real time. They were the

first to launch an automated insulin delivery system that marries their continuous glucose monitor

and their pump together. Since then, another competitor, Tandem Diabetes,

rolled out their own automated system in combination with a continuous glucose monitor made by

Dexcom earlier this year. I think IT was August that they began selling that.

So there is stiff competition, and Insulet does not have an automated system on the market yet.

Investors should realize they could face some headwinds to their growth rate as people

decide whether or not they want to have these automated systems rather than the convenience

of the tubeless pump itself. That being said, though, don't count Insulet out.

They're working on their own automated system. It should be in the market by 2020.

And the way that they're designing their system is not only to use Dexcom's CGM, but to be

able to use a smartphone app to control it. It's something that a lot of patients would

like to see. A really big jump up in convenience. And even with all this competition from Medtronic

and Tandem, this is still a company that's growing double-digits.

Jones: Yeah, I was just looking here. 2017 sales grew 26% of $460 million. Just in Q3,

sales grew 24% year over year to $151 million for the full year. Guiding for $558-563 million in sales.

That's up about 20% from last year. It sounds like they're pretty close to turning

a corner on profitability, as well. Is that right?

Campbell: Absolutely. They were on track to deliver their first operating profit since

their inception this year. They've done a great job of controlling their expenses,

boosting their gross margin. Yes, in the short-term, they're going to still face some competitive

headwinds from Medtronic and Tandem. But the fact that they're still growing so quickly

even in the face of those stiff competitors, and the fact that they have their own automated

system coming in a year, I think that this is an attractive stock to add to long-term portfolios.

It could be bumpy for a little while. But I think long-term portfolios,

adding this one would make sense. Jones: Absolutely. To that point,

watching the partnership opportunities that'll come about. Right now, Insulet is partnered with

Amgen on the delivery system for Neulasta. You could certainly see many different applications

across the entire healthcare space where a customized version of the Omnipod can be used

to deliver different types of medication to different patients. Of the ones we've looked at,z

this one has actually probably caught my attention the most, Todd.

Campbell: I think it's a very intriguing play. Part of the reason that I think it's

such an intriguing play is because of the fact that it has the potential to be a major

disruptive force in the treatment of what is a huge, multiple hundreds of billions of

dollars a year in spending market.  I also like Dexcom, which we talked about

as being the continuous glucose monitors. They're an agnostic play because you could

use a Tandem pump, you can use an insulin pump, whatever. But I think Insulet offers

a particularly interesting value right now because of that 20% drop.

Jones: Absolutely. Let's turn our attention to your second stock, Todd. One of the themes

that I have recognized from our most recent shows, and even with this one, as we were

identifying these stocks, is that the aging baby boomer population is a massive,

massive opportunity for investors to get in on growth opportunities, not just on the drug side,

but also on the healthcare insurance side. Campbell: Yeah! Talk about a huge market.

10,000 baby boomers per day turning 65. A longer-living population. That's significant

because it means demand for healthcare services by the elderly is increasing. That should

put a company like WellCare Health, ticker WCG, in a great position to profit from its

Medicaid and Medicare insurance business.  Jones: It looks like WellCare plays a huge

part in the marketplace for insurance, primarily Medicaid and Medicare. It's been interesting

watching this particular stock, especially coming off of the midterm elections. Now that

we have the Democrats in the House, things have certainly changed for this company.

Campbell: Yeah, which is interesting. The last two years after Trump was elected,

and of course, the Republicans had control of both the House and the Senate, there was an

attempt to eliminate Obamacare. Obamacare includes a provision that expanded Medicaid.

Now, states didn't have to opt into Medicaid expansion, but many of them did. So, one of

the fears over the last two years was that if Obamacare was rolled back, what would happen

with Medicaid expansion? And one of the things that investors have

to recognize is that what happens with these insurers is that they go out and they bid

on a per member basis. The more people who are enrolled in Medicaid programs, the more

money they make in premiums. Medicaid expansion has been a huge win for companies like WellCare Health.

And the threat of that getting rolled back, obviously, was something that was on

the minds of investors. Now that the Democrats took control of the House,

I think the likelihood of any kind of a real repeal or replace that jeopardizes

Medicaid expansion has become de-risked. It's low to non-existent in my view. I think that

provides an interesting tailwind or backstop to WellCare Health's stock price, which over

the last six to eight weeks has tumbled about 25%.

Jones: And it's not just Medicaid. It's also Medicare. Also, it sounds like this company

is pretty aggressive when it comes to acquisitions. It has multiple areas that it's targeting

and strategically focusing on. Campbell: They get most of their sales from

the Medicaid side of things. $3.2 billion in revenue from Medicaid in the third quarter.

That represented about 64% of their total revenue of $5.1 billion. They're still predominantly

a Medicaid insurer. They have been going out and bidding in new states. They won

new bids, new contracts in Florida and Arizona. They also went out and bought a competitor called Meridian.

All of those things are going to increase and drive revenue higher on the Medicaid

side of things in 2019. Then, on the Medicare side of things,

they're also selling Medicare Advantage businesses. They're targeting all those people who are

turning 65 and are trying to figure out, do I want to stay with regular Medicare,

traditional Medicare? Or do I want to go with a Medicare Advantage plan. Because traditional Medicare

doesn't have out-of-pocket limits on what the patient will have to pay, many people

are choosing these Medicare Advantage plans. And as a result, its Medicare revenue is growing.

They did $1.6 billion in Medicare revenue in the third quarter. That was up from $1.47 billion

the year before. That's because they're getting more and more members to sign up for

their Medicare Advantage plans.  Jones: It also sounds like WellCare is upping

their full-year guidance for 2018. It sounds like they're growing not just on the acquisition front,

but organically, as well. What can you tell us about that, Todd?

Campbell: The revenue was up year over year 15%, as I mentioned. They're a profitable company.

Their medical cost ratio, MCR ratio, is somewhere in the mid-80s. They do a good

job as far as managing their risk in that way.

They also have a nice little tailwind coming soon because they agreed to buy Aetna's part

D business in September. As listeners may remember, Aetna has agreed to combine with CVS.

But to get approval for that combination from the Department of Justice, Aetna had

to get rid of its part D revenue. What ended up happening is, WellCare went out and bought it.

They're going to get an additional $1.5 billion in revenue tailwinds, assuming all

the members stick around once they've officially taken that over. I think we'll probably see

most of that revenue show up in 2020. It may not be a 2019 thing, but 2020.

You've got the advantage of the Medicaid expansion in Florida and Arizona, organic growth,

Medicare Advantage growth, and then the potential tailwind from buying the part D that could help support

growth in two years rather than in the next 12 months. Jones: Lots of opportunities for WellCare there.

Let's turn our attention to the two stocks I pulled out from the market. The first one

is actually a type of equity that, Todd, you and I don't talk about a whole lot,

but I certainly think this one has its place. That is a healthcare real estate pick, specifically

a company called HCP, Inc. It is what is known as a REIT, or real estate investment trust.

Oftentimes, many of our listeners aren't familiar with what a REIT is.

Just to give you an overview, traditionally,

most of us, myself included, can't just go out and buy real estate at will.

But what we can do is pool our resources together as investors and buy a collection of properties

or real estate assets. That's exactly what REITs do. REITs also have a very special tax status,

which basically requires them to pay out at least 90% of their income as dividends.

If they do, they aren't taxed at the corporate level like most other businesses. The business

model for an equity REIT in particular -- which is what we're talking about, not a mortgage REIT,

which you certainly want to stay away from -- they buy properties, lease those properties

to tenants. This provides a nice, steady stream of income, most of which is then passed to us,

the shareholders. Campbell: What's really interesting about

these REITs is, you look at other REITs, like mall operators, and how e-commerce is causing

places like Sears to abandon stores. Those mall operators are under pressure.

I'm not going to say you wouldn't have closures or high vacancy rates with healthcare REITs like this,

but I think it's less likely. Healthcare is relatively inelastic to the economic cycle.

If you need healthcare, you're going to go out and seek healthcare. Right now, there's

a tremendous amount of money that's sloshing around in drug development and specialists,

you name it, providing care to all those baby boomers. As a result, that's leading to these

companies having pretty stable and high occupancy rates.

Jones: Absolutely. To put some stats behind that, right now, $1.1 trillion worth of healthcare

real estate is in existence, but only 15% of this is actually REIT-owned. Compare that

to commercial real estate, like you were mentioning, Todd, like retail shopping centers, malls,

even hotels -- that's about 40% REIT-owned. So, I feel like the opportunity is certainly

massive for healthcare REITs. You mentioned the aging baby boomer population. We know

that's going to be a massive growth opportunity in the healthcare space. You also mentioned

the economy. If things start to turn south, generally healthcare expenses are one of the

last to go. Also, we talked about it on last week's show

with our telemedicine, telehealth show -- you see insurers and payers favoring a lot more

of these off-site, lower-cost facilities. That's what a lot of these really strong REITs

are going after, are these assets that are not hospital-based, but they are separate,

standalone facilities. That's why I think healthcare REITs in particular make such a

compelling investment. HCP has been an interesting equity to follow

for a number of reasons. I'd say No. 1 is that it's truly a turnaround story if there

ever was one. If you go back to 2016, this particular stock was down, I want to say,

almost 40% at one point. A lot of that was because of its exposure to skilled nursing facilities.

Skilled nursing facilities are basically long-term care for patients who

have difficulty doing regular, day-to-day activities. Back then, HCP's portfolio was

heavily concentrated in these skilled nursing facilities. In 2016, it was about 26% or so.

They've actually now diversified their real estate portfolio to move away from those skilled

nursing facilities. The reason is because those facilities are much more dependent on

government reimbursement. Now, they are much more focused on private payers, which provides

a much steadier stream of income, and also allows for a much more diversified base.

Campbell: Right. And those contracts have built-in escalators and those types of things

that can help offset some of your rising costs. One of the concerns that some people have

had lately is that in a rising interest rate environment, some dividend stocks look less attractive.

Now, you can go out and you buy short-term bonds and get relatively competitive

yields to what the S&P 500 may be yielding, especially if rates continue to climb over

the course of the next year. That's made some of these higher-dividend-paying stocks more attractive.

If I earn less than 2% on the S&P, why would I want to take on that risk?

I can go out and I buy this short-term bond instead with lesser risk. Now, if you're talking

about a much higher dividend than that, it becomes a little bit more compelling.

Jones: Absolutely. Right now, their dividend, I believe they're right at about a 5% yield,

which is pretty impressive, especially for those that are looking for a steady stream

of income. The shares are trading for about $29 a share. You did see in January and February

of this year most REITs going back to the interest rate sensitivity. Most REITs did

take a hit as the Fed has continued to raise rates. What's been interesting with HCP in

particular is that they've been able to not only recover those losses but are actually

doing quite well even after the tumble they took in October. At $29 a share, they're up

about 40% from its lows from January and February. This really does go against conventional wisdom

with REITs, where the mantra truly is, stay away when the Fed interest rates are at play.

This stock has a lot to offer in terms of long-term growth. I would also add,

there were some management missteps along the way that I think got them into a portfolio that

was so heavily concentrated in an area that was declining. But they've been able to spin

off assets. They spun off their skilled nursing assets into a newly-created REIT called QCP.

They did sell a substantial amount of its Brookdale occupied properties, transitioned

35 others to new operators, and also exited several other non-core investments. Strategically,

now this company is much more in line to have predictable revenue streams, now a much more

diversified and focused company.  It has three core areas: senior housing,

life science properties, and medical offices. Those areas that I mentioned are much less reliant

on government reimbursement, but also are the core areas that you see the industry transitioning to.

Campbell: Yeah. I think those properties

are increasingly valuable. Sometimes they have to be built out specifically with things

like ventilation, certain ventilation, etc, etc. That creates a stickiness with the people

who are renting those spaces from you.  Obviously, in in the future, you've got to

keep an eye on things like what's going on with the National Institute of Health's funding budget,

and how much money is going into research. You have to keep an eye on how much money

is going to venture capital that's allowing some of these university researchers to spin off

and create their own new businesses. Those kinds of things will play a role in determining

vacancy rates in the future. But for now, like you said, this company is doing a pretty

good job in getting itself back on track. Jones: Yeah. And not only that, the balance

sheet is also improving. HCP has basically been paying down a lot of its debt. Its net

debt to adjusted EBITDA has dropped from 6.5X to 6X on a pro forma basis. This actually

led to an improved credit rating from the S&P recently. That's freed up a lot more cash

for them to go after a lot of these strategic moves and go into those more lucrative assets.

Definitely one to watch. I do think, like the other company, this will be a bumpy road ahead.

We're still in a rising rate environment. The Feds are expected to raise rates in 2019

at least three more times from what I've heard. Still in a transformation phase, still has

a long way to go. But I think this company is certainly one to watch.

Turning our attention to the last stock, this has been one of my favorites. It's rare, Todd,

to have a large-cap biotech player go on sale. One of my favorites is Celgene, ticker CELG.

Many large-cap biotech companies right now are ridiculously cheap. Celgene is actually

down 33% on the year, for some reasons which are very much warranted. [laughs] It's currently

sitting at $69 a share. It's lost half of its value since about a year ago. It's trading

at about 7X forward earnings, but when you compare that to the other major players, you're

looking at 11X for Biogen, 9X for Gilead, and 13X for Amgen. It actually makes Celgene

look that much more attractive. Campbell: Yeah. Listeners, if you own Celgene

and you've suffered through that loss, I feel your pain. [laughs] This is a core holding

in the healthcare portion of my own personal portfolio. I've been riding this one lower.

It's a long-term holding for me. I agree with you, it's rare to see a company --

I'm going to take this one step further. It's rare to see a company that's growing by double-digits

that is trading at such a discount vs. where it was a year ago. You said, there are some

good reasons for that, but I think that those reasons are pretty temporary. I don't know if you agree.

Jones: I totally agree. Digging into that,

a little over a year ago, they had the big Phase III disastrous failure for GD301.

It certainly took a huge hit to the stock. Even worse, and probably more embarrassing for

the company, was the refuse to file notice that they received from the FDA for one of

the most widely-watched, most anticipated assets, and that was Ozanimod for multiple sclerosis.

For our listeners who aren't aware, it's one thing to get a complete response

letter where the FDA says, "No, we're not going to approve this even after we've reviewed

the application." It's a whole 'nother thing when the FDA says, "I'm not even going to

look at this because it's not complete." Todd, this is something you expect from a rookie

biotech that just sprung off the side of the streets of San Francisco, right? [laughs]

Campbell: Certainly not a company that has four blockbuster drugs on the market! [laughs]

You would not expect to have that. I think they moved fast. It was an acquisition,

they spent billions of dollars on it a few years ago when they bought Receptos to get Ozanimod.

They just moved too quick. Now, they're going back, they're going through everything,

they're trying to get all their ducks in a row. I think they plan on refiling that early next year.

But I think you're right. That was egg on the face for Celgene, no question.

Jones: And it certainly doesn't stop there. To bring it more in terms of what's happening

now and what the concerns are moving forward, it comes down to Revlimid. Right now,

Revlimid makes up about 63% of Celgene's revenue. A huge moneymaker for the company, but they

are going to be facing generic competition as soon as 2022, and there are multiple generic competitors.

They were able to actually stave off Natco Pharma a couple of years ago.

Basically, they structured an agreement where Natco would limit its volume, which basically means that

they have no incentive to offer discounts. That's great for Celgene. But now,

you've got companies like Mylan, you've also got Dr. Reddy's Laboratories that are going to

have generics. I'm hopeful, cautiously optimistic, that they'll be able to structure similar

agreements with these companies. But that is a huge cloud hanging over Celgene right now.

Campbell: We have to put that a little bit

in perspective. I thought that we would see these brand name drugs lose a lot more of

their market share early on, the biologics, when biosimilars were approved, than they have.

What you're seeing is, these companies are getting increasingly smarter in figuring out

ways to control the decline so that it's a slower pace than maybe you would otherwise expect.

That's going to buy Celgene some important time.

One of the things -- and you're probably going to hit on this in a second -- that I think

is interesting about talking about Celgene today is that they've got some big news potentially

coming very soon at ASH. One of those news items that'll be coming at ASH is going to

be insight into what could become a successor drug to Revlimid, bb21217, which is the second

generation version of those CAR-Ts for multiple myeloma.

Jones: ASH is actually coming up next week. For our listeners who aren't familiar,

it's the American Society of Hematology. It's a huge conference. Both scientists and investors

and companies come and present data. bluebird bio, who Celgene has partnered with on bb2121,

will be presenting data. All eyes will definitely be on that.

To your point, Todd, they've got a lot of things right now that have been working against them,

but for things that I think could work in their favor, they're looking to launch

at least five new drugs over the next couple of years. Potentially bb2121 and the others,

but also Ozanimod, as we've talked about, they're actually expecting to submit for U.S.

and European approvals in the first quarter of 2019 after the delay with the RTF.

That's a drug that could reach $1 billion annually just on the MS indication. Like many MS drugs,

they're also going for the GI indications like ulcerative colitis. That could be another

big moneymaker. They've also got Fedratinib. Celgene plans

to file for a U.S. approval of blood disease drug Fedratinib in treating myelofibrosis

by the end of this year for European submission. If it wins, this drug could compete against

Incyte's billion-dollar blockbuster Jakafi. They've got a number of different drugs in

the pipeline. Luspatercept is another drug on the blood disorder spectrum. This is partnered

with Acceleron Pharma. Celgene thinks it could have $2 billion in peak sales there. We talked

a little bit about it on the cell therapy side, they've also got liso-cel, the company's

gene therapy for non-Hodgkin's lymphoma. You've got a really rich pipeline.

Evaluate Pharma actually has it as the No. 3 best pipeline in the entire industry. This could more than

make up for any decline that we may see on Revlimid sales.

Campbell: I totally agree. That's one of the reasons that I'm so confident about holding

onto this as a core holding. Obviously, like we said at the top of the segment, we've taken it

on the chin, investors, with our Celgene shares. But they've got a lot of irons in

the fire, and a lot of these could be very large drugs. You talked about them.

These are blockbusters in the making, potentially. We still obviously have to get those filings

done and have them go smoothly, and we have to have the FDA weigh in with approvals on

these things. But I see a path for them to get to that $20 billion in revenue and beyond

over the course of the next decade. And that's even in the face of the threats to Revlimid.

Jones: Absolutely. The company has been raising their full-year guidance every quarter.

Right now, they just raised it in Q3 to $15.2 billion up from $14.8 at the start of the year. Growth

is definitely happening. Don't write off Celgene because of where the stock is trading.

It has lots of shots on goal here. Right now, it's literally trading at its all-time lows.

If there was ever a time to get in on this stock, I would say that time is now.

Campbell: Second the motion! Listen, you're never going to pick the bottom. In my view,

there's a difference between catching a falling knife, which is going out and buying shares

in a company that has fallen on tough times, the shares continue to fall. If the company

is not working on disruptive things, if their sales are falling, if their profit is falling,

then yeah, wait until it bottoms, wait until it settles out. Don't try and catch that falling knife.

But that's not the case with Celgene. They're still growing their top line,

they're still growing their bottom line. As you put it, they have all these shots on goal.

Jones: Absolutely! Hopefully in this week's episode of Industry Focus, we've brought to

you a good mix of different types of stocks that present really compelling buying opportunities.

Certainly keep your eyes out for more opportunities moving forward. More importantly, keep your

emotions in check. Now is the time to buy, not time to sell.

That's it for this week's Industry Focus: Healthcare show. As always, people on the

program may have interest in the stocks they talk about, and The Motley Fool may have formal

recommendations for or against, so don't buy or sell stocks based solely on what you hear.

This show is produced by Dan Boyd. For Todd Campbell, I'm Shannon Jones. Thanks for listening and Fool on!

For more infomation >> Top Healthcare Stock Picks: Insulet, Wellcare, and Celgene (PODD, WCG, CELG) - Duration: 35:58.

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Gumball Machine Bubble Gum Balls | Coloring Pages for Kids Toddlers - Duration: 3:05.

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Walmart's E-Commerce Strategy is Showing Signs of Success - Duration: 24:02.

Mac Greer: It's Thursday, November 15th. Welcome to Market Foolery! I'm Mac Greer.

Joining me in studio, we have Motley Fool analysts

Ron Gross and Andy Cross. Gentlemen, how are we doing?

Ron Gross: How are you doing, Mac?

Andy Cross: I'm doing great.  Greer: I'm doing good. We've got sleet,

we've got snow -- Cross: Snow, Mac. Let's say snow.

Greer: There was sleet! Cross: But let's focus on the snow. It's that time of year!

Greer: 6AM, it was sleet. I went out,

got the newspaper. Yes, I still old-school read the newspaper, and it was sleeting.

Gross: School's closed in Montgomery County, Maryland. Why, you ask? I don't know.

Cross: It was snowing -- Greer: Well, the sleet was --

Gross: Alright, a little bit of sleet. Cross: It was slippery.

Greer: In the mean streets of North Arlington, schools did not close. They stayed open.

Gross: It's rough and tumble. Greer: We're gritty. We've got lots to talk

about here. We're going to talk some Warren Buffett, and we're going to talk some Levi's.

And I am going to ask you guys to share your jeans-wearing history. A little catnip for

people to look forward to. Let's start with Walmart. Stronger than expected earnings.

11 straight quarters of sales growth now. E-commerce sales up 43%. And, Walmart

raised full-year guidance. That all sounds great. And then I go and I quote the stock,

and shares are down. Cross: Of course, one day, the stock price

can move on a lot of reasons. The story here with Walmart, as we talked about last quarter,

is really the e-commerce, the change that they're really trying to push ahead.

Even the commentary, there's so much conversation about the investments they're making in more

sophisticated distribution. Warehouses, online grocery, delivery, grocery pickup is a big

push for them. The e-commerce business, Mac, like you said, up 43% this quarter. That's

an improvement of 40% last quarter, 33% increase the quarter before that, and 23% four quarters ago.

A year on year improvement, and a continuing of the trend on e-commerce sales for Walmart.

Continues to be impressive. The stock reaction today, it's still kind

of slow-growing. Sales are up 1.4%, 2.4% if you back out some of the currency. Maybe not

quite so exciting. But really, for such a large company, they continue to make these

investments to try to move the needle and, obviously, compete against Amazon.

Gross: Yeah, a lot of good things to focus on in this report. I think the curmudgeonly

traders out there today are probably focusing on margins that got hit a little bit due to

higher transportation costs, rising e-commerce fulfillment costs. And actually, that's a

good thing, because that means they're growing their e-commerce business. But nevertheless,

it does come with higher costs. Profit is actually down 2%. It's hard to get excited

about a report where profits are down from the previous period last year. I think that's

probably what folks are focusing on. But I do like the raised guidance. I think that makes sense.

The stock has been all over the place this year.

From February through August, it was a woof, as you like to say. But it's come

back since then. Kind of flat year to date. Nothing really exciting coming from the stock.

I like the raised guidance. Only 21X earnings right here for a company that will probably

grow in the low single digits. We'll see how that e-commerce continues to ramp.

Cross: They also closed the Flipkart acquisition, which is the Indian business which they competed

a lot for. That's expensive, and it added to the debt pile for what they have. But that's

an exciting investment to make. They're definitely not standing still, certainly not the Walmart

story of even five years ago, with the investments they're making. And they have to, because

it's so much more of a competitive space, with free shipping from the likes of Amazon

and others who are not standing still. You have a company that's going to generate

$15 billion or so in free cash flow. They're basically going to spend that all in dividends and share buybacks.

It's really a return of capital story for investors.

The stock's reacted very nicely off the lows here earlier this year. At $100 now, it sells

for about 21X earnings. A slight premium to the market when you look at forward earnings.

Probably not a ton to get excited about in the stock price. But from the business side,

they're making the investments that are important. Greer: And not curmudgeonly, right?! You don't

have to be curmudgeonly about it. Cross: No, I don't think so.

Gross: Years ago, we used to talk about how they have to right size the U.S. business.

The U.S. business is everything we talked about. Now, they've got it humming along.

International, though, isn't where they would want to be. Andy, you mentioned the Flipkart acquisition,

which I think is a really interesting one. Unfortunately, the CEO of that business

unit had to resign following an allegation of sexual assault. Obviously, that throws

a little bit monkey wrench into some works. They had to shed control of their Brazil operations.

They merged their U.K. operations with a rival to focus on the U.S. business and their e-commerce business.

So, international is kind of floundering. They need to figure that out next, I think.

Cross: On the U.S. side, the comp growth of 3.4%, that's a 1.2% increase in traffic.

More people coming into the stores. But, a 2.2% increase on the average ticket price.

That's a little bit higher than inflation. They actually are seen some benefits from some of the pricing

mechanisms that they're putting forward. And that's an increase off of the 1.2% from last quarter.

They are actually seeing some pricing benefits, which you don't really particularly

expect to see from Walmart in this kind of environment.

Greer: Along those lines, let's talk about two areas of the business that really appear

to be growing. Toys, benefiting from the Toys R Us bankruptcy, and groceries. By the

end of the year, Walmart expects to be able to deliver groceries to 40% of the U.S. population.

Cross: If you look at my household, groceries and toys are pretty good spots to focus on,

with two young kids. That's bread and butter, trying to serve the customer base that Walmart

wants to serve in ways that are more convenient. As Ron mentioned, they're investing in that.

The new distribution center they've been working on in California will allow them to ship product

goods at a 40% faster rate than the traditional distribution centers. A lot of investments,

a lot of robotic investments going into the distribution center. Amazon's done this so well,

Walmart is now playing catch up. The groceries, we all buy groceries. I eat every day, Mac.

And I've seen you eat almost every day.

Greer: It's not pretty. Cross: And certainly Ron. It may not be pretty.

Gross: I don't like to miss a meal. [laughs]  Cross: [laughs] We all depend on food. It's

a good spot for them to focus on, and trying to now meet the customers where they want to be met.

Gross: I love this quote. CEO McMillan said,

"Walmart can offer fresh food within ten miles of 90% of the U.S. population." That's pretty powerful.

Greer: And you're still curmudgeonly?

Or are you coming off that? Gross: This company and this stock are not

going to knock the cover off the ball. But, from a total return perspective, as part of

the more conservative portion of your portfolio, I have no problem with it.

Cross: A 2% dividend yield. Don't expect fireworks, but certainly, over the last couple months,

it's been a nice performer for people who have held on.

Greer: Speaking of nice performers, there's a guy named Warren Buffett who's got a pretty

good track record, is my understanding, as an investor. His company, Berkshire Hathaway,

just reported its third quarter holdings. Boy, does Buffett, or someone over at Berkshire,

really like banks. Guys, let me give you the ten holdings quickly. See if you notice a

theme here. Apple is the biggest holding. Then we've got Bank of America, Wells Fargo,

Coke, Kraft Heinz, American Express, U.S. Bancorp, Moody's, Goldman Sachs, and JP Morgan

Chase. Five of the ten are banks! Gross: You look at this portfolio and you say,

a bunch of banks and a bunch of consumer staple-ish stocks. It doesn't seem to be a

very exciting portfolio. Greer: The curmudgeonly trader,

there you go again! Gross: Mr. Buffett doesn't know what

he's doing. When I think of Buffett, I think of that folksy guy who likes See's Candy kind

of businesses, old economy types of businesses. But we forget, he's a student of financials,

whether it be insurance or financial services or the big banks. You'll remember long ago,

he was actually interim chairman of Salomon Brothers. Subsequently, in various financial crises,

he's helped bail out more than one large bank. He understands these companies

where I will say I tend to not, because they seem like a black box to me. He clearly does.

And I think that makes him comfortable investing big portions of his portfolio,

especially in this type of environment, where interest rates are going to start to rise, less regulation.

He sees some good stuff on the horizon. And knowing what he knows about how these banks run,

he's comfortable. Greer: Does this get you more interested in banks, Ron?

Gross: No.

Cross: Warren Buffett has insights, like Ron was saying, into the financial world from

his 60 years of investing in all types of businesses. He also has the Todd and Ted partnership,

helping him out in the investing landscape, as well. You look through his portfolio,

you do see companies like the airline investments they've made over the last year or so, combined

with a lot of financials. The financial investment doesn't really surprise me. Ron mentioned

the rising interest rates. From a scale perspective, from competitive position, the largest banks

continue to widen those moats. Frankly, Mr. Buffett is not one that's going

to pay 10X revenues, per se, for software-as-a-service companies. And he has a lot

of capital to put the work. They have $100 billion in cash on the balance sheet. They generate so much

cash from their operating businesses to be able to invest. Making investments like this

-- including Oracle, which they bought last quarter, as well. These are the kinds of investments

you expect to see from Berkshire Hathaway. Given the size of the organization and amount

of capital they generate. and the traditional valuation bent and thinking, these don't really

surprise me. These investments, he knows them well.

Gross: Yeah. It's good to see the Ted and Todd influence. Buffett was notorious for

staying away from tech. He said it's because he couldn't understand it. It's not really

about not understanding, it's about not being able to predict the future, which I completely understand.

But it's nice to at least see him in consumer electronics like Apple;

Oracle, a business where either he or Ted or Todd can understand. We saw recent investments

in fintech, financial technology, companies. Good to see, because clearly, that's going

to be a big place to put capital for the future. I like to see some of that in addition to

the old Kraft, Coke, AmEx kind of stocks that he's owned forever.

Cross: And, by the way, let's not forget, he's also buying his own stock. They bought

almost a billion dollars' worth of Berkshire Hathaway stock in the last quarter.

That's significant. He doesn't really go out there and aggressively buy his own stock. Instead,

he changed his methodology for thinking about when to buy that stock from a price to book

value target to "when we think the stock is undervalued." And they bought a bunch last quarter.

Greer: I'll be curious to see if he starts

buying even more Apple. For perspective here, Apple, his largest position by far, almost

$57 billion worth of Apple stock. Bank of America, around $25 billion. Wells Fargo,

$23 billion. Apple, far away. Gross: I would imagine, with the Apple weakness

that we've seen lately, he's in the market buying more. That's just a guess.

I don't think he gets hung up as much as traditional Wall Street does on the quarter to quarter

iPhone unit sales numbers. I think he's thinking longer-term about what Apple will do, in terms

of generating cash flow and buying back stock over the next five or ten years. So, I would

imagine he's increasing his position on this weakness.

Greer: If I'm an investor, and I hear about these ten holdings, and I'm like,

"Buffett's had an incredible track record. One of the most successful public market investors in history.

Why not just mimic this portfolio?" Why shouldn't I just go out and buy these ten stocks?

Cross: I think you'd be better off buying Berkshire Hathaway.

Gross: You could mimic these stocks, but then what?

He's constantly changing the portfolio, adding to other companies. But more important,

you're getting all the operating businesses of Berkshire Hathaway, which are generating

all those billions of dollars of cash flow. Geico generating the float capital,

which you then can invest in stocks. Just buying these publicly traded companies, you would

not be getting all those operating businesses, as well.

Cross: I think if you want to go investing in some of these businesses, they can be fine investments.

But considering he was buying his own stock, and he's pretty particular

about when they buy that stock ...

Berkshire Hathaway is one of my largest personal positions.

Gross: Me, too. Cross: I think the stock is undervalued now,

so if you wanted to put your money behind Mr. Buffett and that team, especially with

the insurance operations that Ron mentioned and the operating businesses, buy Berkshire Hathaway.

Greer: Guys, our final story, one that is

near and dear to my heart, we're going to talk Levi's! We're going to talk denim,

we're going to talk jeans. They're getting ready to open this massive flagship store in Times Square.

It'll be their largest store in the world. But that's not why we're talking about Levi's.

We're talking about Levi's because, according to reports, they are talking about

going public again. I say again because Levi's was a public company from 1971 to 1985.

Does a Levi's IPO have us excited? Gross: An iconic American brand, for sure.

They're trying to raise $600-800 million, a valuation of around $5 billion, it looks like.

I don't know if it gets me excited from a stock perspective. I have to see what

kind of valuation this looks like relative to cash flow and earnings. I don't know what

growth potential looks like, whether this is an international play or retail play. Obviously,

they have their own stores, almost 3,000 of them, but they sell into 50,000 retail locations

around the world. Levi's Dockers, Denizen brands. I'll keep an eye on it. It's not some

hot tech IPO, that's for sure, but I've never been a hot tech IPO investor, anyway.

Greer: Ron, we were talking about this before -- apparently, Levi's T-shirts are all the

rage these days. Who knew? Gross: Who knew? I'm telling you, iconic.

It's an iconic American brand. Greer: Do you ever wear Dockers?

Gross: Do only old men wear Dockers, is my question. Because then I'll answer your question.

Cross: With pleats! Greer: I wore pleats for like ten years too long.

And finally, I had a group of friends, it was like an intervention. They basically said,

"You have to quit wearing pleated pants." No one had told me! And, apparently,

the braided belt, that went out. Gross: That went out, too. Did you wear the

stretch waistband Dockers? Or just the straight-up Dockers?

Greer: No, the straight-up Dockers, but they were pleated. It was a bad look. Someone should

have just pulled me as side. Sometimes tough love is the best love.

Gross: Don't throw out that braided belt. That'll come back.

Greer: Oh, my gosh, I'm banking on it. Andy, what do you think of Levi's?

Cross: As Ron was saying, even though it's headquartered

in San Francisco, not some high-tech investment,

it's not. It'll probably be priced around 1X sales. It looks profitable.

It looks like it's growing nicely. There has been a resurgence here, along with the iconic brand,

the Americana. There's enough to get me kind of excited. But the business in general has

proven to be quite tough over the years. Gap struggled. We know what the retail channels

are looking like with them. More and more of their business might be tied to their own distribution,

rather than dependent on the likes of the other storefronts,

particularly those that are tied more to malls. Traffic is down there.

It will be interesting to see how they use their brand, and how that translates to a

new buying experience compared to where it was the last time it went to the public markets.

It's a much different marketplace now. Gross: I'd be curious why they need $600-800

million of capital. Is somebody trying to cash out of this business? Do they need that

capital because of some growth strategy? I'd need to see their projected use of funds.

Cross: Yeah, and how much the family still owns may be tied to it. It is interesting.

Why now? Why right now? Are they trying to push the growth story that they can't find

internally with their own capital? Why offer shares versus taking on more debt?

That'd be pretty cheap right now. It might be a liquidity event from a core group of shareholders.

Greer: The business is 165 years old. Gross: That's amazing.

Greer: It's pretty cool. It's very cool. Here's another fun fact, if you're out and about

and there's a lull in the conversation. Worldwide denim market, $95.5 billion. How much of that

does Levi's have, according to 2017 figures?

Gross: 15%. Greer: Andy?

Cross: I'll say a little bit less than that, 10%.

Greer: 5.3%.

Gross: Interesting. Greer: There's a lot of upside if you think

denim is going to be around for a while. Gross: Kids do not wear jeans anymore.

Male children. The girls still wear them. But there is no jean market right now for kids.

Greer: That's true. Gross: So, that might be an opportunity, or

it might be a red flag.  Greer: That's such a good point. My boys will

not wear jeans. They wear athleisure wear. I know Lululemon that hates that term,

but that's what it is. It's athleisure. It's something I'm going to be wearing in 20 years when

I drive a golf cart. Gross: That sounds awesome. Sign me up.

Greer: As we wrap up, I have to ask.

We talked Dockers earlier. Let's briefly belly up to the bar here and talk about our

jean-wearing history. Andy Cross, give me the overview.

Cross: I've gone through Wranglers, I've gone through Lee's. I've never been a super

fashion person. But I did have a little bit of one embarrassing jean moment. We were at

The Motley Fool board of directors, and Tom Gardner was trying to get us all to bond and

was talking about an embarrassing story. I had mentioned one thing that I just like to

do when I try on jeans, back when I used to go to the store. I'd try them on and turn

around and check out how my backside looks in the mirror.

Gross: [laughs] At the board meeting? Cross: So, I mentioned this to the board of directors.

And it got a really good laugh. But I wish I hadn't told that story to the

board of directors. Greer: Wow. True confessions.

Cross: It was a true confession. But, yeah, I have a pair of Levi's on right now.

It's a standard go-to. They're affordable, they've opened up lots of different types of styles

that match what I want. Greer: Ron?

Gross: The jeans I'm currently wearing as we speak are nine years old and from Gap.

I'm sure they're not in style anymore. Cross: Were they ever?

Gross: I don't know. I wouldn't even know how to tell.

Greer: And what would you say was your most stylish jeans? If we go back, get in the way-back machine.

Gross: Oh, this is sad. I don't know how much

of our audience remembers Jordache or Jordache and Sasson jeans. In sixth grade, I had a

brand-spanking-new pair of Jordache that I refused to wear because they were designer

and tight and ridiculous. But yet, I found myself having to throw them on to attend a

band concert that the parents all attended in our sixth grade auditorium.

I remember it to this day. I'm sure I dream about it consistently. It was just so embarrassing

and traumatic. Greer: And how did that work out for you?

Gross: It was just so embarrassing and traumatic. Cross: You guys ever go the Mavi route?

I did Mavi's for a while. Greer: No, what is that?

Cross: It's a brand. They're still around. You can still buy them on Zappos and Amazon.

Gross: Lucky makes a nice pair of jeans.

Cross: Lucky, yeah.

Greer: I'm surprised neither of you mentioned Toughskins. I would rock the Toughskins in

elementary school. Cross: [laughs] Toughskins?!

Gross: Are they for husky children? Cross: There you go! If the jean fits ...

Greer: I was not husky. Then I went through a dark period in college where I wore Wranglers

with Stan Smith tennis shoes, which is a terrible look. If you're going to wear Wranglers,

you have to wear boots. And I think technically, you probably have to dip or chew.

I didn't do any of that. Gross: Are you wearing Kirkland

jeans right now? Costco? Greer: I've gotten religion. I was wearing

Kirkland for a while. I love Costco. You know I love Costco.

Gross: Yeah, we know. Greer: But Kirkland is just ... I feel like

you've just given up. So, I finally said, "I'm going back to Levi's." Now, I'm wearing Levi's 501s.

Gross: They look amazing.

Greer: I'm happy as a clam, but I'm not turning around. I don't do that. I just put them on

and there you go. Gross: You know that strip that goes along

the leg that says what size they are? The adhesive strip? I once went to a party forgetting

to remove that adhesive strip. And I got there, and luckily, it was friends who pointed out.

But before they told me, they took a picture of it. I as wearing a blazer, jeans, and the

adhesive strip. I forget what size they were. Greer: I think that that means you're just

incredibly secure. Gross: Because I didn't check myself out in

the mirror before? Greer: You're so confident that you're like,

"This is how I roll." Gross: It was there on purpose.

Greer: Then again, I didn't get married until I was 40. Consider the source.

Gross: [laughs] Yeah, you're no source. Cross: Acid wash? Did you guys go the acid wash route?

Gross: I loved acid wash.

Greer: More stone wash, but yeah. You like acid wash?

Gross: It worked for me for a good two years in New York and Jersey.

Greer: Full-on Bon Jovi. Gross: Good times.

Greer: The desert island poll, it's a little tricky this time. I think I know where you're going with this.

If you had to invest in one of these companies that we've talked about,

you're on a desert island for the next five years -- I should preface this by saying,

don't invest this way. It's just a fun game. Walmart, Berkshire Hathaway, or the maybe

soon-to-be Levi's IPO. Berkshire? Cross: Yeah, I have to go Berkshire on that.

Gross: No-brainer. I think it's my biggest holding, actually, and I'm a proud shareholder.

Greer: There you go. Andy Cross, Ron Gross, thanks for joining me!

Gross: Thanks! Cross: Thanks, Mac!

Greer: marketfoolery@fool.com is our email. If you have any questions or comments,

or if you just want to talk about your jeans history, we would love, love, love to hear it.

As always, people on the show may have interest in the stocks they talk about,

and the Motley Fool may have formal recommendations for or against, so don't buy or sell stocks

based solely on what you hear. That's it for this edition of Market Foolery. I'm Mac Greer.

For the Jordache-wearing Ron Gross, and for the very fashionable Andy Cross, the show

is mixed by Austin Morgan. Thanks for listening! We'll see you tomorrow.

For more infomation >> Walmart's E-Commerce Strategy is Showing Signs of Success - Duration: 24:02.

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For more infomation >> A atitude do PSBD diante as corrupções tiveram algum reflexo nestas eleições? - Duration: 0:59.

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How Retail is Changing: Big Investments, Big Holiday Expectations, Big Costs for Target - Duration: 26:08.

Chris Hill: It's Tuesday, November 20th. Welcome to Market Foolery. I'm Chris Hill.

Joining me in studio, from MFAM Funds, the one and only Bill Barker. Thanks for being here!

Bill Barker: Thanks for having me!

Hill: It is a short week for us here at Market Foolery. We are off on Wednesday, we're obviously off

for Thanksgiving. The market is closed. Normally, in these situations, I would say hey,

"Check out Industry Focus!" That's the other daily podcast from The Motley Fool.

Industry Focus is also taking Wednesday and Thursday off. So, I'm going to say,

if you haven't listened to Rule Breaker Investing with David Gardner, absolutely, you should

be checking that out. And Motley Fool Answers. Barker: Listen to it two or three times.

Your schedule has opened up. Hill: Your schedule has opened up.

Particularly in the case of Rule Breaker Investing, the shelf life for the episodes David Gardner hosts --

Barker: Skip this episode, go right over to

Rule Breakers. Give it two or three listens right now. Get more out of it. Can we wrap?

Hill: No, we're going to keep going. But your point is spot-on. People will get more out

of whatever David Gardner is talking about this week than whatever we're about to talk about.

Actually, we're going to talk about the retail ugliness that is happening right now.

We saw this coming last week, when Home Depot put up an amazing, stellar quarter,

and the stock dropped anyway. Now, we've got retailers putting up less than stellar quarters

and getting punished for it. We'll start with Target. Third quarter results coming in below expectations.

You can look at what Target is doing, in terms of their investment in

the supply chain, and think, long-term, that makes sense. I applaud that, and that's fine.

But in the short-term, that means that Target's costs are going higher. The stock down 9% this morning.

Barker: The stock going into today was up

22% for the year and up 37% from this time last year. Let's pull that part a little bit.

One thing that allowed that was the stock being beaten up as much as it was. There was a lot of

frustration with retail going into last summer 2017. A lot of stocks in the retail

space really bottomed around then. Looking at it from that point, everything is going

much better. They haven't been destroyed, as of yet by Amazon.

But Target's numbers show what the cost of that non-destruction is. They had comps of 5.3%,

which is pretty good. But there are costs associated with meeting customers in

all the places they want to be. Target's investments in order online, pick up in store or curbside,

these are good things for the customer, things the customer wants, but they are not easy

to deliver without raising your costs. Either you're going to have to raise your prices,

which is not particularly viable in as competitive a retail environment as we have today;

or, you're going to take on those costs, and your margins contract. That's where Target is today.

Hill: Brian Cornell, the CEO, was very clear that despite the higher costs in the third quarter,

he has a great deal of confidence going into the holiday quarter, not just in

terms of consumer spending, but in terms of Target's ability to deliver on that. I think

Brian Cornell has rightfully earned the confidence of the shareholders, given his track record there.

You're hopefully taking some solace in Cornell's confidence.

Barker: I do. What I take less confidence in is how you construct the numbers in a way

that makes it a truly exciting investment opportunity. Traditional retail, let's go back

a few years, where you're going to get your comps of mid-single-digits at a well-run place,

and then you're going to open up more stores. Your total sales are going to rise

maybe in the low-double-digits. Because you're opening more stores, you're getting bigger,

your margins are going to improve by a little bit. Then, you're going to buy back some shares.

And when you combine all that and get down to the bottom line, you've got growth of earnings

per share, hopefully, in something like the mid-double-digits, like 15%, if you do everything right.

Quarters aren't always going to go right, but that's the game plan.

Well, now, are you really building more stores? If you're not building more stores,

are you going to see your margins improve? You're not really growing more than the rate of the economy.

If that's the case, you still might be able to buy back your shares. And Target

did a bit of that over the quarter. But really, they were buying them back at what appears

now to be higher prices than they go for after today. Maybe they'll buy back more shares

at a lower price over the coming quarter. But if you start getting at, where are the comps,

and that's the main number that's going to determine your rate of growth, you're talking mid-single-digits.

Hill: Let's move on to Lowe's. Lowe's third quarter

not nearly as good as Home Depot's last week. Expectedly, shares of Lowe's falling today.

Part of the confidence that I think investors might want to have in Target is

the fact that despite the higher costs in the third quarter, Target didn't change their

guidance for the full fiscal year. That is not the case with Lowe's. In addition to their

third quarter numbers, they also cut their forecast.

Barker: As we just went over, part of the equation here traditionally would be that you

have good comp numbers, which allows you to open more stores. Well, Lowe's is now in

the process of closing stores. They're saying 31 stores in Canada, 20 in the U.S.

They're contracting, in terms of their store count. Where is the growth going to come from there?

I'm not saying that's the wrong business decision. If you have over-supplied in terms of stores,

you've got too many too close together -- I think most of the stores that they've announced

that are going to be eliminated are within ten miles of another store.

They're going to be more efficient. That'll help the comp numbers in the remaining stores once it's completed.

But you've got to take a big charge to earnings to close those stores.

That's what's befalling Lowe's stock today. Hill: And, throw in the fact that previously,

Lowe's had announced that it was closing all of its Orchard Supply Hardware stores,

which was a smaller brand in the Lowe's portfolio. This can all make a lot of sense,

and these can all be the right decisions, but if you're looking at Lowe's in 2019, 2019 is shaping

up as a year for Marvin Ellison and his team at Lowe's where they really need to deliver.

If this year has been, "We need to take a hard look at how we manage our inventory.

We need to take a hard look at our locations. Yes, we're going to close Orchard Supply.

Yes, we're going to methodically close certain locations in North America," that's fine.

But they really need to deliver next year. Barker: Yeah. You can be more confident in

that delivery occurring if the housing market is really healthy. And the housing market

is beginning to show signs, in the wake of interest rates moving up and mortgage rates

also moving up, of a softening in the housing market. All these markets are really local,

and some are doing better than others. But nationally, there's been slowdown. The numbers out

yesterday showed that homebuilder confidence was at a two-year low. That's an issue.

Margins are also an issue. The cost of lumber has been going up, in large part due to some

of the tariffs, and the lumber coming in from Canada. There are a lot of different moving pieces,

all of which are moving in the wrong direction for Lowe's, other than the economy

in general, which is still quite healthy. That's more use than maybe just about anything,

but the housing economy specifically is a problem.

Hill: If housing is really that bad -- Barker: I don't want to say housing is bad.

It's softening. It's different. I don't want to oversell the problems in the housing market.

Hill: I appreciate that. But we've talked for years about how, for people who have not

invested in housing, one of the easiest entry points for an investor looking at individual stocks

is Home Depot and Lowe's. Over time, they've been steady businesses. At various points,

one has done better than the other. But generally, they have been seen as safer

investments than a straight-up homebuilder or that sort of thing. Sorry to keep going

back to last week, but if Home Depot is going to put up a third quarter like they just did,

and the stock is going to drop because there are all of these concerns about the housing industry,

that makes me wonder if there's anything related to the housing market,

in terms of stocks, that's worth buying right now.

Barker: I think Home Depot is still -- disclosure, I own some shares of Home Depot -- probably

the place I would be most confident in a sustainable floor, that is housing builders, homebuilders.

Boy, you get some wild, wild swings there. When times are good, they skyrocket.

When times are bad, they look like they're going bankrupt. Home Depot is a far lower ceiling,

higher floor on that, and it's been doing a better job than Lowe's for quite some time.

Although there was, as you say, weakness post-earnings-report,

I'd rather have a good earnings report and

stock weakness than vice versa. Hill: Our email address is marketfoolery@fool.com.

Question from Sam Horne in Boston, where it's about to become very cold. Sam writes,

"One of the first dozens of listeners here. I've noticed you guys have not mentioned L Brands over

the past year, but have touched on other victims in the retail apocalypse. Would love to hear

your thoughts on the long-term ability to invest in fashion/brands. Thanks." Thank you, Sam, for that.

What a coincidence. Actually, on our schedule

to discuss today, L Brands reporting third quarter results. This is the parent company

of Victoria's Secret and Bath & Body Works. Whatever nice things showed up in the third

quarter report were overshadowed by the fact that L Brands announced it's cutting its dividend

in half. That's a little surprising. Barker: I'd be hard-pressed to tell you what

the good things are that showed up in the third quarter.

Hill: Versus expectations. Barker: Well, they lost money. Part of that

was due to massive write-offs for two things. One, they are eliminating Henri Bendel.

Maybe it's [with a French accent] Henri Bendel.  Hill: You can pronounce it however you want.

Barker: [laughs] You can get in trouble for pronouncing things wrong on this show! You've done it.

Hill: Sure. Barker: Mostly with your Swedish pronunciations.

Hill: Yeah. I struggle there. Barker: That's a charge. The secondary charge,

actually a much larger charge, is the $80 million -- although it is non-cash -- impairment

charge related to the Victoria's Secret store assets. That indicates that they have spent

money building stores, and they now have to write down some of those costs, because it

doesn't look like they're going to recoup the investment on certain store investments.

This is a problem. They're taking charges, acknowledging that they've misallocated capital.

They're shutting down a brand. It wasn't a huge part of the business, but still,

not a good sign.  The weakness is really in the Victoria's Secret brand,

more than elsewhere. For the third quarter, comps were down 2%. And that's the

largest chunk of the business. Comps were up 13% at Bath & Body Works, which I'm sure

we'll get to. That's a better side of the story. But the long-term trend is that Victoria's Secret

is not resonating with its customers. Hill: Yeah. I was going to say, in terms of

bright spots, certainly the Bath & Body Works results looked good. They raised guidance

for the full fiscal year. That's theoretically a bright spot. Bath & Body Works,

this has come up in the past, maybe about a year ago, maybe after the holidays. We were talking

about their large, three-wick candles, and the unusual scents that they have. I've talked

about the people that the Oreo division of Mondelez being drunk with power. I think,

to a smaller degree, whoever is greenlighting the various scents of candles and Bath & Body Works

are saying yes to everything. Barker: You could just go back and replay

rather than us revisiting our thoughts on Sweater Weather and Black Tie and --

Hill: Peppered Suede! Barker: Flannel.

Hill: Flannel! Would you like a flannel-scented candle? If you set flannel on fire,

it's usually not a great smell. Barker: You're actually packing some Peppered Suede

right next to you.

Hill: Yeah, one of the dozens sent in a Peppered Suede candle.

Barker: Really, when you're having some suede, you think,

"This could do with a little more pepper." Now they've done it for you.

Hill: You're welcome, America. Barker: You don't want to have any suede that's

Hill: Bland.

Barker: Yeah. Hill: When we had talked about this before,

we were talking about the different scents, but also the fact that this candle,

which is nearly a pound in weight -- Barker: In some states, you have to register that.

Hill: Oh, yeah. This is a blunt object.

In fact, it wouldn't surprise me if this showed up in a police report somewhere.

Barker: Not that we're advocating that.  Hill: Not that we're advocating that.

I'm just saying that if you wanted to use this as a weapon --

Barker: If you have to defend yourself, if somebody's an intruder, have a couple of Bath & Body Works'

three-wick candles on hand, you have a better chance of getting out of that situation.

Hill: One of the things that I took the company

to task for was the fact that, you've got these unusual scents, but also, you're selling

this candle for nearly $30. They were selling these candles for $27. I just thought,

come on! You're not going to get me interested in that! Someone just posted in

The Motley Fool Podcast Group on Facebook that the good people at Pringles came out with a creative

box of Thanksgiving-dinner-flavored Pringles. You could get me interested in that, but not

if it's $15 a box, which is what they're doing. It's like, come on, Pringles. I'll try your

novelty flavors, but you have to make it attractive from a price point standpoint.

Well, it's entirely possible that someone at Bath & Body Works was listening to that podcast,

because you go to their website, bathandbodyworks.com,

and immediately, you're bombarded with the candles.

They're less than half the price they were a year ago.

Barker: They're so cheap, you can't afford not to buy them.

Hill: Exactly! Creative scents like Merry Cookie, Fresh Balsam, Twisted Peppermint --

my hunch is that Peppermint and Twisted Peppermint probably have similar scents, but maybe

I'm wrong on that. Champagne Toast. Barker: Twisted Peppermint has a little bit

more of an edge to it. Hill: Yeah, it's the edgy one. It's a good-looking

rebel candle that plays by its own rules. Vanilla Snowflake. Fireside. I don't think

you want to put a large candle right next to the fire.

Barker: Here's a challenging one: Wine Cellar. Hill: You tell me "Wine Cellar," I think musty.

Barker: [laughs] Yeah. I wouldn't think that a cellar is something that connotes good smell.

Hill: No, not really. Barker: Not any of the cellars that I've ever owned.

Hill: Right. Or that have ever appeared in movies. [laughs] There's never been a time

where you're watching a movie and they go down to the cellar and you think to yourself

as a viewer, "I bet that smells delightful!" Barker: No. You'd better be armed with a

candle if you're going to go down to the wine cellar that's in a movie. There's usually trouble down there.

Hill: We're poking a little bit of fun at Bath & Body Works

in the wake of a third quarter where it was by far so much better,

from a business standpoint, than Victoria's Secret was.

Barker: Part of the reason is, for us to go into the details of what is sold at Victoria's Secret

is a danger zone that we should stay away from.

Hill: Right. Barker: Right.

Hill: Right. Barker: Nobody wants that.

Hill: Nobody wants that. And frankly, this is more fun. This is a lot more fun,

to talk about Wine Cellar as a scent. Barker: But, to go to the number,

which we can do without getting into too much trouble, Victoria's Secret comp sales for the whole

brand were down 2%. In-store, they were down 6%, which is another data point about

the reduced attractiveness of having a lot of mall-based stores. That's what Victoria's Secret

is largely saddled with. On top of that, they had a couple of announced departures.

Victoria's Secret's CEO is departing. That's not the L Brands CEO. It's another individual.

But the Victoria's Secret CEO is a very, very important part of the company. She's departing.

That's yet another thing on top of the dividend cut, the decreased comps. I don't know where

the good news is in here. And this is something which, a couple years ago,

I think you could have said, "What store, what fashion brand do you have more confidence

in continually getting it right and not missing the fashion trend and where things are going?"

Because that happens to all fashion brands sooner or later. And now, including this one.

They're just on the wrong side of where their customers want to shop.

Hill: One last scent on the Bath & Body Works candles. Again, I'm not sure what this is.

There's a scent entitled 'Tis The Season. There you go. 'Tis The Season.

Speaking of which, you can follow us on Twitter @MarketFoolery. We got a tweet from Tom Krikus.

I hope I'm pronouncing Tom's last name correctly. Barker: You get in trouble if you mispronounce it.

Hill: Well, not everyone's as harsh with their

judgment as you. Barker: Or the Swedes.

You don't want to get them mad. Hill: Don't get the Swedes mad.

Barker: Our good friends from Sweden. Hill: Tom writes, "I know we haven't even

had Thanksgiving yet, but I am so looking forward to what Market Foolery has in store

for this year's Christmas playlist." For those who are relatively new to this podcast,

for the last few years, in the month of December, producer Dan Boyd works his magic.

Really, I don't think it's an overstatement, Dan, to say that we're doing this as a public service.

Dan Boyd: Oh, totally. You hear the same 45 Christmas songs every year on the radio stations.

One of our local radio stations has already switched over to all Christmas music,

all the time. And it's songs that I've heard uncountable amounts. What we try to do is bring people

Christmas music that you're not necessarily going to hear on the radio or in the malls or on the

soundtrack to your Hallmark Channel Christmas movie or whatever you're doing.

Hill: [laughs] Exactly! Barker: You need that sometimes, though.

The old standbys. But you also need to learn about some new ones.

Hill: There are some old standbys that are wonderful, classic tunes. But ...

Boyd: But you get enough of them everywhere else.

Hill: Expand your playlist. Boyd: Look at Barker, over here. He's doing it.

Every time, whenever I come on the show, he's like, "Actually, guys, what you're doing is wrong."

Barker: No, no! I'm just reflection on a time

-- there was an election a couple years ago, I'm not going to say what election it was,

but the day after, I needed to tune out politics, and there was nothing more comforting than

going back to Christmas songs that I had heard hundreds and thousands of times for my drive

into work that day. As out of place as Christmas music in mid-November would be, nevertheless.

On those occasions, thankfully, post-election despondency for whoever has it at whatever time,

it only comes every couple of years. Boyd: That actually sounds very nice.

Hill: So, yes, Tom, the holiday tunes are coming. They're coming at the end of next week,

when we have, for the first time in a very long time, an Apropos of Nothing episode.

We're going to be recording that next week. That will kick off our holiday music. You, me, and ...

Barker: A special guest.

Hill: A special guest, who has never appeared on Apropos of Nothing before. If you're listening

to this saying to yourself, "What in the world is Apropos of Nothing?" It's the rare episode

where we come in here and just talk about nothing to do with business. It's just rambling.

As a sneak preview of the Apropos of Nothing, this was a suggestion of the special guest

-- the smallest hill you're willing to die on. I like that as a topic.

Barker: Of all hills? Or is that specific to the thing we were going to write?

Hill: No, I think it was, of all the hills you're willing to die on, what's the smallest one?

Barker: Okay. You're taking requests for topics. Hill: Yeah, if people want to email or tweet us like,

"Hey, kick this question around." Barker: There was one that's in the quite-likely-to-do list,

one of the requests that somebody sent in.

Hill: Yes. I've already forgotten what it is, but I have it saved in my email.

Barker: I can remind you later. Hill: Okay. You can read more from Bill Barker

and his colleagues, just go to mfamfunds.com.

The website looks fantastic. They had a whole makeover.

It's wonderful. Check it out, because we're not going to be here Wednesday or Thursday.

Happy Thanksgiving! Barker: Thank you! This is your big holiday.

Hill: Yes, very excited. Although, as one headline I saw, it's going to be the coldest

Thanksgiving in Boston in over 100 years. I'm bracing myself for that.

Barker: And you're going out running in that, you say.

Hill: It remains to be determined if the annual 5K race is going to happen for me personally.

Barker: Since it won't be rainy, why not? Hill: [laughs] Because right now, it's looking

like it's going to be below zero.

Barker: Eh, you just burn off a few more calories trying to --

Hill: Not freeze to death?

Barker: -- keep the hypothermia at bay. That just leaves room for more stuffing.

Hill: Can't argue with that kind of logic. Thanks for being here!

Barker: Thank you! Hill: As always, people on the program may

have interest in the stocks they talk about, and The Motley Fool may have formal recommendations

for or against, so don't buy or sell stocks based solely on what you hear.

That's going to do it for this edition of Market Foolery. The show is mixed by Dan Boyd. I'm Chris Hill.

Thanks for listening! We'll see you on Monday.

For more infomation >> How Retail is Changing: Big Investments, Big Holiday Expectations, Big Costs for Target - Duration: 26:08.

-------------------------------------------

Is T Series Ruining YouTube? (EXPOSED?!) - Duration: 11:15.

one of the biggest stories going on the YouTube community right now and for the

last few months is t-series taking over YouTube but are they ruining the

platform what is up everybody this is Chris from the rewired so where we talk

about the problem but focus on the solution and if you're new to my channel

my channel is all about mental health and what I like to do is pull different

topics from the YouTube community trying to teach you how to improve your mental

and emotional well-being so make sure you subscribe and bring that

notification about so real quick update a lot of you who are my loyal amazing

beautiful subscribers you know that I'm working on a new book called rewire your

anger and the outline is done so right after this I'm going to go and start

knocking out some chapters it should hopefully be out by the end of this week

so make sure your notifications you're following me on Twitter and Instagram

I'll be let me know as soon as that things out alright but anyways let's

talk about t series real quick and their rise and some of the stuff going

on in YouTube so I actually did an interview yesterday for a Business

Insider magazine which should be coming out in January and they were

interviewing me about youtuber mental health and I got the idea like man I

need to write a book about youtuber mental health because we talked about a

lot of great stuff and right now like this thing going on

with t-series as well some other stuff going on in the community like we need

to talk about this all right because people are losing their minds okay so I

might do some other videos just about PewDiePie and some other things but

let's focus on T series and then taking over the platform as the biggest you

know channel out there so those of you who don't know T series is their like

they do like music and movies over in India and they've been around for a long

time and now they're exploding on YouTube and they're about to pass'

PewDiePie if you want more information on this and the storyline behind it go

check out my french channel crimson studios like they are doing awesome

stuff they've made like three or four videos about this and

back and forth with PewDiePie and everything I'm like if you want to learn

more about the situation go check out theirs right far before Felix and many

of the major youtubers we see today in fact the story of t-series is far

different than that of your standard creator you see t-series isn't a person

a place but a thing a corporate entity which according to an article by digit

pin actually dates back to the early 1980s a simpler time with smarter people

and Footloose so but I want to talk about is a few things in regards to you

know focusing on the problem or focusing on the solution I want to talk about

this thing called locus of control because here's a thing so something I've

often talked about when it comes to youtubers is locus of control so locus

of control there's either internal or an external locus of control

alright so an external locus of control is your mind in your mind you believe

that you have little to no control over the outcomes in your life okay now what

they've discovered is that this can increase depression as well as anxiety

like something that helps us stay in a good positive mental state is feeling in

control so people who have an internal locus of control they have a much better

mind state because they feel that their actions create certain outcomes or they

have they influence certain outcomes now this doesn't mean like you think that

you can control the universe in the weather and everything but it's about

taking responsibility ok so it's knowing that if I work hard I can achieve this

right if I work on my mental health I can achieve this so let's talk about

mental health real quick so an example of external locus of control is I can't

be mentally well until my mom or until my dad approves of me alright so you

have an external locus of control somebody with an internal locus of

control Thanks I cannot change my mom or dad but I can work on myself to learn

how to deal with my mom and dad better alright you see those two different

things so this is something that a lot of youtubers struggle with a lot of

youtubers complain about the platform and

D monetization and corporations taking over so this has been going on for a

while since before T series I've seen a lot of creators upset you know that like

the late night shows are coming over to YouTube Will Smith and some other

celebrities are making channels on YouTube I just made a video about this

when I talked about my jealousy of spill and like what people are neglected to

realize is that like YouTube is an abundant resource alright like here's

the thing so last night Tristan yeah we're watching YouTube and we'll have

the conversations about tea series and everything and Chris and I were just

watching some of our favorite youtubers some vlogs and people just sitting in

their room talking or just different creators who are funny and everything

like you guys you need to understand like that is never going away like there

is no corporation out there that can take that away from YouTube it is

impossible alright like if people want to watch like big like high production

things or celebrities or whatever they can but a lot of people come to YouTube

for that kind of personal connection and talking to those people like the beauty

of the Internet today is that there is not much of a barrier between me and you

between the creator and the audience all right but like do you think that if you

go comment on this I'm Steve Colbert's like YouTube channel

he's gonna reply to you or John Oliver or if you go comment on t-series they're

gonna reply to you chances are that they're not alright so that is something

that they're not gonna take away for you but one of the biggest issues is that so

many youtubers are focusing on the problem rather than the solution and

it's a it's a really messed up mindset so now I get it

and this is something that I'm not gonna touch on when it comes to like the money

and everything but let's talk about audience okay let's talk about audience

size audience growth and everything like it really bums me out because this is

something that I have to work on - when I see youtubers with like millions upon

millions upon millions of subscribers complaining about these corporations

coming into YouTube and they're saying that YouTube promotes the bigger like

you know production companies more than regular youtubers

and like here's the bummer about that they're worried about growing and

reaching a new audience and not focusing on the audience that they have and like

I said I'm guilty of this too this this sometimes influences the content that I

make or the video topics I decide to touch on like I sit there and I'm like

okay do I want this video to get new subscribers or don't want this video to

you know focus on the audience that I currently have right and it's constantly

this balance obviously we don't want to grow we want to get bigger but like we

need to remember like we have an audience like listen listen all of you

big youtubers out there with millions of subscribers nobody is taking that away

from you okay t-series isn't going to pop up on somebody's recommended and

they're going like okay well I'm gonna unsubscribe to you and subscribe to

t-series that is not how this thing works

so what I'm getting at is like this is why I say we talk about the problem but

focus on the solution what can you do something that you can do as a creator

is focused on your current audience okay do the thing like where you we built

like a word-of-mouth connect with people have these people refer your channel to

friends and family like it warms my heart when you my audience says I showed

my husband or wife your channel I showed my friends your 10 I'll show my parents

your channel like that is awesome that is something that I can somewhat control

by making good content and connecting with you so no matter how much the

YouTube algorithm doesn't recommend me on occasions you are recommending me

does that make sense because you also see a lot of youtubers

talking about you know the YouTube platform not notifying people and all of

that and I get it that sucks but a lot of them are focusing on the problem me I

focus on the solution so for those of you who don't know we have a Facebook

group we have a discord server I'm on Instagram I'm on Twitter everywhere that

I am you know okay you know when a new video gets posted I remember the other

night in the discord server I posted my new video and somebody said thank God

I'm in discord because the YouTube notifications

working right so as a creator what can you do to encourage your audience to be

more connected to you so they're properly notified when new videos come

out you know what I mean so like as far as like t-series and other companies

coming in like everybody just calm down we adapt we change there are certain

things that will never ever be taken away from you I made a video a couple

weeks ago about how keemstar is the reason for my success

and it's because keemstar was saying nothing new can be created yeah

everything's already been saturated Dada da Dada right if you're in that mindset

you are in an external locus of control quit thinking about the problems quit

thinking about the things that you cannot control and focus on what you can

control so as far as t-series come on in CBS ABC come on in

CNN come on hear all these big news places come on in because you are not

taking away my audience because you are not doing what I'm doing so like I know

this was mainly focused on youtubers and creators but I really want you to think

about this internal versus external locus of control when it comes to what

you do in your own life like how much control do you have over your job how

much control do you have over you know the things you buy how much control do

you have over how much you work on your mental health

like what are the chapters in the rewire your anger book that I'm writing is that

it's a lot easier for you to fix you than it is to try to fix the rest of the

world we waste so much time and energy like mental capacity focusing on things

that we have absolutely no control over all right when you start focusing on the

things that you can control I guarantee your life will get a whole lot better

and no matter what you're doing all right so I hope this video helped you

out if any youtubers are watching this I hope this gave you a little like

encouragement and motivation and get out of the problem and focus on the solution

focus on your current audience all right because let me tell you this things are

gonna be okay all right but again go check out my buddies over at crimson

studios if you want to learn more about the t-series situation we are going to

collab I'm going to you a couple more topics on this anyways

go check that now and let me know down in the comments below

do you feel that you have Mormon internal locus of control or external

locus of control alright let's talk in the comments down below that's all I got

for this video if you like this video please give it a thumbs up if you're new

make sure you subscribe and win that notification about because I make a ton

of videos and a huge thank you to everybody supporting the channel over on

patreon you are all amazing and over on patreon there's exclusive content and at

Q&A coming up very soon if you follow me on Instagram you know what it's gonna be

like okay this is good for watching I'll see you next time

For more infomation >> Is T Series Ruining YouTube? (EXPOSED?!) - Duration: 11:15.

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Nafarman Aulad Ke Liye Amal || Bachon Ko Farmabardar Banane Ka Taweez - In Urdu Hindi - Duration: 2:53.

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For more infomation >> Nafarman Aulad Ke Liye Amal || Bachon Ko Farmabardar Banane Ka Taweez - In Urdu Hindi - Duration: 2:53.

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Main Aa Gaya Dil Churane Aa Gaya DJ Remix Song || fire Hard Bass MIx fire Dance MIx DJ loud sound - Duration: 4:26.

English

For more infomation >> Main Aa Gaya Dil Churane Aa Gaya DJ Remix Song || fire Hard Bass MIx fire Dance MIx DJ loud sound - Duration: 4:26.

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Duniya Hasino Ka Mela Remix fire DJ Song || fire Hard Bass DJ fire Old Is Gold loud sound - Duration: 5:49.

For more infomation >> Duniya Hasino Ka Mela Remix fire DJ Song || fire Hard Bass DJ fire Old Is Gold loud sound - Duration: 5:49.

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Ek Aankh Maru To DJ Remix Song || fire Old Is Gold DJ fire Hard || Bass fire Full Masti Dance Mix DJ - Duration: 5:00.

Bass fire Full Masti Dance Mix DJ

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