good day everybody j7409 here with you with weather news. the name you know the
news that you can use! man oh man I've been having rain rain and heavy rain
just about off and on all night as a matter of fact it's doing it right now
I mean heavy rain people and what can you expect with the humidity levels
would you look at this look at this up into the 90 to 100% humidity all up and
down in here humidity is everywhere and when you have humidity so close down to
the ground when the humidity levels so high you can expect rain this is a check
of the latest GFS map courtesy of tropical tidbits and before I get going
this morning I hope that no one was in too bad of severe weather last night my
goodness we had watches watches from tornado watches to severe thunderstorm
watches up and down these coast and out in the Midwest and if you are having a
problem getting notices about receiving my weather videos all you have to do is
hashtag weather j7409 and I'll put that down in the show more down in the
description for you also if you click that you should be able to receive my
videos now let's turn this map on we have this risk of severe thunderstorms
today from southeast Wyoming Southwest Nebraska and eastern Colorado into
central Kansas so we're gonna turn it on right quick and let er roll now the
severe thunderstorms are going to be possible
initially across the central high plains by late this afternoon then spreading
into the central plains it's evening and perhaps even continuing into tonight
with isolated strong to severe storms that can be possible across eastern
Oklahoma to Arkansas and in the north-east now what I want to
talk about I want you're going to hear me see or say rather MCV well that
stands for miso scale convective vortex and what that is it pulls winds in a
circular pattern like a vortex okay you're going to hear me talk about meso
scale convective systems now they are thunderstorms that become larger than
regular individual thunderstorms but they're smaller than extra-tropical
cyclones and they usually last for several hours or more so here we go for
eastern Oklahoma Arkansas northeast Texas and northern Louisiana we have an
MC V now this is where it's pulled through pulling the wind in a circular
pattern attended to AMCs which is a very convicted thunderstorm okay now we've
got this this morning and it could develop new storms downstream across
Oklahoma into Arkansas in northeast Texas and even by north down around
northern Louisiana by this afternoon now all of the models are in strong
agreement showing that a decayed MCs over Oklahoma this morning now the
potential exists for pockets of moderate instability with mid-level wind shear in
the vicinity of the in CV and hence some to support storms organization the
outlooks going to have severe probabilities on the lower end though
with the potential for stronger storms being capable of producing locally
strong winds and hail now early day cloudiness could limit overall
destabilization of this and thus precludes the introduction of higher
severe probabilities at this so eastern Oklahoma Arkansas northeast
Texas and northern Louisiana you could be getting some rain rain rain rain rain
with possibility of some very storms headed your way now eastern New York and
a new engine we got a shortwave trough that will lift primarily across Canada
today and will result in neutral height changes across the Northeast however
strong southwesterly mid to upper level winds are going to extend across the
Northeast States resulting in effective bulk shear anywhere from 35 to 45 knots
now the models continue to suggest a narrow corridor strong boundary layer
eating it's going to occur across the Hudson Valley region ahead of a weak
surface front an instability will be marginal stronger instability is
forecast father east though low level convergence is weaker and scattered
thunderstorms should evolve across the Northeast with the potential for locally
strong wind gust if you happen to be in one of these storms so far as my area
where I live if you're anywhere let's cut this back on right quick if you're
anywhere and this area right up and down the seaboard so far as from down around
Florida Georgia South Carolina North Carolina up into eastern Virginia maybe
Washington DC expect rain off and on but when you have rain you're probably going
to have a pretty heavy rain shower I'm telling you folks it is raining so much
at my house and it's not just a little drizzle it's a hard rain for the last 12
hours we may even hear hitting my roof right now this is going to happen off
and on with breaks for the majority of today here we are at Hatteras this
morning letting you see what it looks like yeah
rain rain nasty nasty and besides it raining it's not a good day to go in the
water because the rip currents are still high they have not lifted the dirty
water ban yet that has all the bacteria in it working on it hopefully by this
afternoon it will be cleared but that's still under way but people please please
take the rip current warnings at heart do not go in the water if you go in the
water just wait around don't go out and swim
in it so many people have died if they say hi rip currents or even moderate rip
currents don't think you can overcome them so many people have died already to
prove that you can't here we are looking at thunderstorm activity going on around
8 a.m. this morning time right now 8 o 8 a.m. and of course today is Saturday the
28th of July 2018 we will move this on up to around 1 p.m. this afternoon it's
thundering it's lightning that's raining like crazy at my house and it will
continue as I've told you right through these areas also down in Florida you can
see where the rain is moving through with those systems I just spoke up that
may bring severe weather as we go to 4:00 p.m. this afternoon we can see how
it is going down into the Oklahoma area right in here all the way down to
Louisiana and portions of Arkansas also up in Nebraska especially along the
panhandle area from Wyoming Colorado and parts of Montana excuse me not just
about check there ok moving right along we will go to 8:00 p.m. this evening you
can see what's going on and we will move up to 1:00 a.m. in the morning with the
most severe of the thunderstorm activity out in
the lower part of the Nebraska a little bit of Colorado and down in to panja's
we'll take a quick look at the Cape map with all of the indices of how strong
severe energy is in the air that can produce these severe storms this is
around 10 a.m. for this morning you know the deal if you are in the red or the
purple that's the most severe however when you're in the green you still have
a chance when all of the conditions are just right for water spouts and
tornadoes to pop up on you so everyone be aware of that we will have to around
3 p.m. this afternoon on over to around 8 p.m. this evening and then we'll hop
up to 1 a.m. in the morning and that's what the Cape is looking like for today
we're gonna check out the thunderstorms and see how severe they may get
throughout the day and if this is your first time over to weather news with J
seven for a nine and you're into the weather like all the rest of us please
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should get them ok here we are at 9 a.m. this morning we will move up to 1:00
p.m. this afternoon you can see how it's going let's back up just a hair to
around 11 this morning you can see how these storms are gaining a little
strength up in the Nebraska and Kansas area all the way down to Arkansas
they've moved through the Oklahoma area at this time we will move up to around 4
p.m. in this afternoon looks like Texas might be getting some
rain and relief that'll be a good thing and as we move on to 8 p.m. this evening
you can see how everything is progressing along and we will move up to
11 p.m. tonight that's when we have some real little nasty cells getting together
right up in here between Kansas and Colorado also a very good possibility of
some in the panhandle of Nebraska reaching over into Wyoming so we'll go
up just a little bit further to around 2 a.m. Sunday morning and a look out here
we go in Kansas the lower portion of Nebraska's just got out of this and this
is in the very high range wherever you see it purple these are storms for sure
okay like I've been talking about so please keep this in mind and stay safe
thank you so much for watching I appreciate everything you do for me
everybody have a good day a blessed day a safe day a lot of us are going to be
in and out of rain showers off and on so that's just the way it is but wherever
you've seen any of the severe weather also these are probably going to have
gusty winds and hail in them so be aware of that and the possibility of turning
into tornadoes I love you guys much peace loving kindness to each of you and
thank you so much for watching
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